Combined warming index energy system analysis framework for methane leakage rate and carbon capture rate uncertainty
Daniel Davids, Neil Grant, Shivika Mittal, Adam Hawkes, Gbemi Oluleye

TL;DR
This paper introduces a new framework to analyze how methane leakage and carbon capture rates affect the viability of blue hydrogen in a decarbonized future.
Contribution
The paper presents a novel Combined Warming Index (CWI) and framework to assess blue hydrogen's role in energy systems under uncertainty.
Findings
The CWI framework reveals how methane leakage and carbon capture rates influence energy system dynamics.
Unique property envelopes are established to evaluate the state of energy systems under varying conditions.
The analysis highlights the importance of considering both leakage and capture rates for blue hydrogen viability.
Abstract
Fossil fuels dominate the production of hydrogen and will continue to contribute in a decarbonised future. Blue hydrogen production from natural gas with carbon capture and storage technology applied is seen as the major route for natural gas in a future Hydrogen Economy. Methane leakage rate in natural gas supply chains and carbon capture rate are two critical parameters for the success of blue hydrogen. Despite this, the linked effect of the variables are difficult to identify, especially in terms of their impacts on decarbonisation metrics within the energy system. We formulate a new Combined Warming Index (CWI) measure and develop a framework for analysing the influence of methane leakage rate and carbon capture rate on blue hydrogen viability and other relevant energy system characteristics. Framework outline: • Investigate energy system scenarios within a range of methane…
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Taxonomy
TopicsAtmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies · CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
