An objective change point analysis of landfalling historical Atlantic hurricane numbers

TL;DR

This paper applies change point analysis to US landfalling Atlantic hurricanes, revealing different patterns than previous basin-wide studies, and highlights the importance of regional analysis for understanding hurricane variability.

Contribution

It introduces a change point analysis specifically for US landfalling hurricanes, providing new insights distinct from basin-wide analyses.

Findings

Different change points identified for landfalling hurricanes compared to basin-wide data

Regional analysis reveals unique temporal patterns

Highlights importance of localized studies in hurricane research

Abstract

In previous work we have analysed the Atlantic basin hurricane number time-series to identify decadal time-scale change points. We now repeat the analysis but for US landfalling hurricanes. The results are very different.