Option pricing and hedging with minimum local expected shortfall
Beno\^it Pochart, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

TL;DR
This paper introduces a Monte-Carlo approach for option pricing and hedging in incomplete markets using expected shortfall, effectively managing tail risks and transaction costs across various stochastic models.
Contribution
It presents a new Monte-Carlo method for option hedging with arbitrary risk criteria, applicable to diverse stochastic processes and incorporating transaction costs.
Findings
Reduces extreme tail risks in fat-tailed distributions
Leads to low Gamma hedging strategies
Transaction costs decrease Gamma of optimal strategies
Abstract
We propose a versatile Monte-Carlo method for pricing and hedging options when the market is incomplete, for an arbitrary risk criterion (chosen here to be the expected shortfall), for a large class of stochastic processes, and in the presence of transaction costs. We illustrate the method on plain vanilla options when the price returns follow a Student-t distribution. We show that in the presence of fat-tails, our strategy allows to significantly reduce extreme risks, and generically leads to low Gamma hedging. Similarly, the inclusion of transaction costs reduces the Gamma of the optimal strategy.
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Taxonomy
TopicsStochastic processes and financial applications · Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
