The CTRW in finance: Direct and inverse problems with some generalizations and extensions
Jaume Masoliver, Miquel Montero, Josep Perello, George H. Weiss

TL;DR
This paper explores the application of continuous time random walk models to finance, addressing both direct and inverse problems, and introduces generalizations including non-Markovian dynamics to better capture correlated financial returns.
Contribution
It presents new results on overnight effects and extends the CTRW framework to include non-Markovian, correlated return increments in financial modeling.
Findings
Enhanced CTRW model incorporating overnight effects
Generalized formalism for non-Markovian, correlated returns
Improved understanding of financial distribution dynamics
Abstract
We study financial distributions within the framework of the continuous time random walk (CTRW). We review earlier approaches and present new results related to overnight effects as well as the generalization of the formalism which embodies a non-Markovian formulation of the CTRW aimed to account for correlated increments of the return.
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Taxonomy
TopicsComplex Systems and Time Series Analysis · Stochastic processes and financial applications · Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
