# Circulating biomarkers and mortality in atrial fibrillation: the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke study

**Authors:** Erin M Hald, Katherine Wilkinson, Samuel A P Short, Suzanne E Judd, Virginia J Howard, Emily B Levitan, Elsayed Z Soliman, Mary Cushman

PMC · DOI: 10.1093/ehjopen/oeag022 · 2026-02-17

## TL;DR

This study identifies several biomarkers linked to higher mortality in people with atrial fibrillation, highlighting potential targets for reducing risk.

## Contribution

The study provides novel evidence on circulating biomarkers associated with mortality in atrial fibrillation patients.

## Key findings

- Multiple biomarkers, such as N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide and interleukin-6, were strongly associated with all-cause mortality in AF patients.
- Most biomarkers showed stronger associations with cardiovascular mortality compared to cancer mortality.
- Biomarker associations were consistent across racial groups in the study population.

## Abstract

Examination of biomarkers associated with mortality among people with atrial fibrillation (AF) may help identify possible preventive interventions in this high-risk population. We aimed to study associations of circulating biomarkers with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in persons with AF in the US national biracial REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort.

REGARDS enrolled 30 239 Black and White adults aged ≥45 in 2003–07. Candidate biomarkers were measured in all participants with baseline AF and no prior stroke (n = 2260) and deaths identified through 31 December 2019. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause, cardiovascular-, and cancer-related mortality by biomarker levels. The mean baseline age was 67.5 years. Participants were 53.5% female, 35.7% identified as Black, and 21.3% were taking an anticoagulant. Over 10.3 years, 1151 participants died (38.7% of cardiovascular disease, 16.1% of cancer). In multivariable-adjusted analyses, all analysed biomarkers except lipoprotein(a) were associated with all-cause mortality (HR, 95% CI for fourth vs. first quartile): N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (4.85; 3.70–6.36), galectin-3 (2.03; 1.65–2.51), growth differentiation factor 15 (3.98; 3.00–5.29), cystatin C (2.81; 2.21–3.58), interleukin-6 (2.61; 2.08–3.26), D-dimer (1.74; 1.40–2.15), γ-glutamyltransferase (1.46; 1.21–1.76), and factor VIII antigen (2.03; 1.65–2.50). Most biomarker associations were stronger for cardiovascular than cancer mortality and did not differ by race.

Several biomarkers were associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in AF, suggesting multiple domains of clinical relevance that support interventions to reduce mortality.

## Linked entities

- **Proteins:** LGALS3 (galectin 3), CYSTATIN-C (cystatin-C), IL6 (interleukin 6)
- **Diseases:** atrial fibrillation (MONDO:0004981), cardiovascular disease (MONDO:0004995), cancer (MONDO:0004992)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** GGT1 (gamma-glutamyltransferase 1) [NCBI Gene 2678] {aka CD224, D22S672, D22S732, GGT, GGT 1, GGTD}, IL6 (interleukin 6) [NCBI Gene 3569] {aka BSF-2, BSF2, CDF, HGF, HSF, IFN-beta-2}, CST3 (cystatin C) [NCBI Gene 1471] {aka ADLDWA, ARMD11, HEL-S-2}, LPA (lipoprotein(a)) [NCBI Gene 4018] {aka AK38, APOA, LP}, LGALS3 (galectin 3) [NCBI Gene 3958] {aka CBP35, GAL3, GALBP, GALIG, L31, LGALS2}, GDF15 (growth differentiation factor 15) [NCBI Gene 9518] {aka GDF-15, HG, MIC-1, MIC1, NAG-1, PDF}
- **Diseases:** deaths (MESH:D003643), Stroke (MESH:D020521), cardiovascular disease (MESH:D002318), cancer (MESH:D009369), AF (MESH:D001281)

## Figures

2 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13043327/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13043327