# Global Burden of Diseases Attributable to Early Maturation in 2021

**Authors:** Yujie Xu, Xueting Liu, Yidi Wang, Changxiao Xie, Siquan Zhou, Ye Tian, Jingyuan Xiong, Guo Cheng

PMC · DOI: 10.1002/mco2.70681 · MedComm · 2026-03-15

## TL;DR

Early maturation contributes to 11.2 million new cases of diseases like asthma and diabetes in 2021, with higher impact on females and developed regions.

## Contribution

Quantifies the global disease burden attributable to early maturation using population attributable fractions and regional analysis.

## Key findings

- Early maturation is causally linked to seven diseases with PAFs ranging from 0.8% to 7.7%.
- 11.2 million new cases were attributable to early maturation in 2021, with higher rates in developed regions.
- Females experienced a higher PAF (3.4%) compared to males (2.3%).

## Abstract

Early maturation poses a considerable health challenge worldwide. We aim to quantify the global disease burden attributable to early maturation in 2021. We calculated sex‐specific and region‐specific population attributable fractions (PAFs) of diseases through meta‐analysis and Mendelian randomization. The age‐standardized incidence rate (ASIR) with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) of these diseases, stratified by sex, age, and development status were estimated using the Global Burden of Diseases database. Asthma, Type 2 diabetes, ischemic heart disease, stroke, uterine cancer, testicular cancer, and depression was causally related with early maturation, with PAF ranging from 7.7% for uterine cancer to 0.8% for Type 2 diabetes. About 11.2 million new attributable cases occurs, with an ASIR of 210.1 (95% UI 155.1–280.7) cases per 100,000, with higher PAF in females (3.4%) than in males (2.3%). The ASIR was highest in North America (405.5, 309.0–526.3 cases per 100,000) and lowest in East Asia and the Pacific (120.8, 89.6–160.3 cases per 100,000). More developed regions showed 1.4 times higher incidence burden (ASIR 268.5, 199.6–356.6 cases per 100,000) than less developed regions. Therefore, regional adoption of effective public health interventions to alleviate early maturation, notably for females in more developed regions, has enormous potential to reduce worldwide disease burden.

Early maturation significantly contributed to the global burden of seven major non‐communicable diseases, accounting for an estimated 11.2 million new cases worldwide in 2021. Our analysis revealed that this burden disproportionately affected females and populations in more developed regions. These specific findings provide a crucial evidence base for informing and tailoring future public health strategies and preventive interventions.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** asthma (MONDO:0004979), Type 2 diabetes (MONDO:0005148), ischemic heart disease (MONDO:0024644), stroke (MONDO:0005098), uterine cancer (MONDO:0002715), testicular cancer (MONDO:0003510), depression (MONDO:0002050)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** stroke (MESH:D020521), Type 2 diabetes (MESH:D003924), depression (MESH:D003866), uterine cancer (MESH:D014594), Diseases (MESH:D004194), testicular cancer (MESH:D013736), Asthma (MESH:D001249), ischemic heart disease (MESH:D017202)

## Full text

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## Figures

3 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13042796/full.md

## References

47 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13042796/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13042796