# Decreasing Antibody Titers and the Slow Decay of Measles Immunity in Mexico’s Current Epidemiological Landscape

## TL;DR

This study finds that younger vaccinated adults in Mexico have lower measles antibodies compared to older generations, suggesting immunity may be waning over time.

## Contribution

The study identifies cohort-specific immunity patterns and links lower antibody levels in younger vaccinated adults to waning vaccine-induced immunity.

## Key findings

- Seropositivity was 67.2% with a geometric mean concentration of 270.43 mIU/mL.
- Individuals vaccinated before 1970 had significantly higher antibody levels than younger cohorts.
- Historical vaccination strategy was the primary factor associated with antibody levels.

## Abstract

Background: Measles remains a global public health threat despite the availability of an effective vaccine and substantial progress toward elimination in many countries. Outbreaks in highly vaccinated settings suggest that waning vaccine-induced immunity, particularly among adults, may create silent susceptibility gaps capable of sustaining viral transmission. Aim: To evaluate age- and cohort-specific patterns of measles-specific antibody levels in Mexican adults and to examine evidence suggesting lower vaccine-induced antibody levels in younger vaccinated cohorts. Methods: A cross-sectional seroepidemiological study was conducted among 302 voluntary blood donors aged 18–70 years. Demographic, clinical, and vaccination data were collected through structured interviews. Serum anti-measles-virus (MV) IgG levels were quantified using a commercial ELISA. Antibody concentrations were analyzed according to age, sex, vaccination history, self-reported measles infection, and historical vaccination strategies. Multivariate linear models were applied to identify factors associated with IgG levels. Results: Anti-MV IgG seropositivity (>200 mIU/mL) was 67.2%, with a geometric mean concentration (GMC) of 270.43 mIU/mL. A positive correlation was observed between age and antibody levels (rs = 0.161, p = 0.005). Individuals born before the introduction of the measles vaccine (pre-1970) had significantly higher GMCs (1096.63 mIU/mL) than younger cohorts. A history of natural infection tended to be associated with higher antibody levels (GMC: 428.38 vs. 257.24 mIU/mL; p = 0.051). In multivariate analysis, historical vaccination strategy emerged as the primary factor associated with antibody levels, whereas age alone was not significant. Conclusions: Cohort-specific differences in measles IgG levels suggest generational patterns of immunity and are consistent with diminished vaccine-induced antibody levels in younger adults in the absence of natural boosting. These findings highlight the importance of ongoing serological surveillance in post-elimination settings and underscore the need for targeted public health interventions.