# Anal Human Papillomavirus Infection Progression to Disease Among Men Who Have Sex With Men

**Authors:** Joel M Palefsky, Anna R Giuliano, Stephen E Goldstone, Brady Dubin, Alfred Saah, Alain Luxembourg, Christine Velicer, Joseph E Tota

PMC · DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaf584 · Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025-10-29

## TL;DR

Many young, unvaccinated HIV-negative men who have sex with men (MSM) develop anal disease from HPV infections, suggesting that HPV vaccination could help prevent these conditions.

## Contribution

This study quantifies the progression of anal HPV infections to anal disease in HIV-negative MSM and supports the role of HPV vaccination in prevention.

## Key findings

- HPV6, HPV11, and HPV16/18 were the main types driving progression to anal disease in HIV-negative MSM.
- About 43% of infected MSM developed anal condyloma/AIN1 and 34% developed AIN2/3 within 30 months.
- These findings support HPV vaccination for preventing anal disease in young HIV-negative MSM.

## Abstract

Critical gaps exist in our understanding of the progression from anal human papillomavirus (HPV) infection to same-type HPV-associated anal disease in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-negative men who have sex with men (MSM). We conducted a post hoc analysis of a phase 3 randomized 4-valent HPV vaccine trial (NCT00090285) to assess the natural progression of anal HPV infections to associated anal lesions among MSM.

A total of 602 HIV-negative MSM aged 16–27 years.

HIV-negative MSM aged 16–27 years enrolled in the placebo arm from 18 countries were included. We estimated the distribution of 9-valent HPV (9vHPV) vaccine types in intra-anal lesions (anal condyloma and anal intraepithelial neoplasia [AIN] 1–3), proportions and rates of progression from incident-persistent (no associated anal disease at baseline) intra-anal HPV infections to the same-type HPV-associated anal lesion, and cumulative incidence over 30 months.

Predominant 9vHPV types detected were HPV6 (55.7%) and HPV11 (25.3%) in MSM with anal condyloma/AIN1, and HPV6 (30.5%), HPV16 (22.0%), and HPV11 (15.3%) in those with pooled AIN2/3. Progression from incident-persistent intra-anal 9vHPV infection to anal disease was driven primarily by HPV6, HPV11, and HPV16/18 infections for MSM with anal condyloma/AIN1 (63.0%, 85.7%, and 16.3%, respectively) and AIN2/3 (25.9%, 14.3%, and 32.4%, respectively). Cumulative incidence of anal condyloma/AIN1 and AIN2/3 in MSM with incident-persistent infection was 43.1% and 34.4%, respectively.

A high proportion of unvaccinated HIV-negative MSM with a new intra-anal 9vHPV infection developed same-type HPV-associated anal disease. These findings support HPV vaccination of young HIV-negative MSM to prevent anal HPV infection and associated anal disease.

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00090285.

A high proportion of young, unvaccinated human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-negative men who have sex with men (MSM) with a new intra-anal HPV infection develop same-type HPV-associated anal disease.HPV vaccination of young HIV-negative MSM can prevent anal HPV infection and same-type HPV-associated anal disease.

A high proportion of young, unvaccinated human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-negative men who have sex with men (MSM) with a new intra-anal HPV infection develop same-type HPV-associated anal disease.

HPV vaccination of young HIV-negative MSM can prevent anal HPV infection and same-type HPV-associated anal disease.

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** infection (MESH:D007239), AIN] 1-3 (MESH:C537153), HIV (MESH:D015658), anal intraepithelial neoplasia [ (MESH:D002578), 9vHPV infection (MESH:D030361), anal condyloma (MESH:D001005)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606], Human papillomavirus 16 (serotype) [taxon 333760], human papillomavirus 11 (serotype) [taxon 10580], Human immunodeficiency virus 1 (no rank) [taxon 11676], Halorubrum sp. PV6 (species) [taxon 634157]

## Full text

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## Figures

2 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13016981/full.md

## References

22 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13016981/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13016981