# Clues to Long COVID Linked to Virulence and Infectivity Found in Shell Proteins

**Authors:** Gerard Kian-Meng Goh, James A. Foster, Vladimir N. Uversky

PMC · DOI: 10.3390/arm94020018 · 2026-03-11

## TL;DR

The study suggests that the structure of SARS-CoV-2's shell proteins may explain its high infectivity and link to long COVID.

## Contribution

The novel contribution is linking shell protein disorder to SARS-CoV-2's infectivity and long-term effects through computational and clinical evidence.

## Key findings

- Abnormally hard M shell proteins in SARS-CoV-2 increase infectivity by resisting antimicrobial enzymes.
- Lower disorder in the N shell correlates with reduced virulence compared to SARS-CoV-1.
- Hard M proteins may allow the virus to hide in phagocytes, potentially causing long COVID.

## Abstract

What are the main findings?
The abnormally hard M, detected among all SARS-CoV-2 viruses using AI, is believed to be the cause of SARS-CoV-2 high infectivity as it is more resistance to salivary and mucosal antimicrobial enzymes and, thereby, forces the infected person to shed much greater quantities of viral particles.N disorder could modulate the severity of COVID-19 and long COVID by allowing faster replication of the virus as correlations between the inner shell (N) disorder and virulence have been found.

The abnormally hard M, detected among all SARS-CoV-2 viruses using AI, is believed to be the cause of SARS-CoV-2 high infectivity as it is more resistance to salivary and mucosal antimicrobial enzymes and, thereby, forces the infected person to shed much greater quantities of viral particles.

N disorder could modulate the severity of COVID-19 and long COVID by allowing faster replication of the virus as correlations between the inner shell (N) disorder and virulence have been found.

What are the implications of the main findings?
Current knowledge of physiology, immunology and biochemistry suggests that the unusually hard M is not just associated with infectivity but also long COVID as the virus could resist the antimicrobial enzymes in the phagocyte and is thus able to dwell in it, which could become a virus reservoir.An understanding of the mechanisms by which the virus hides in the body, could lead to better treatments of long COVID by targeting the reservoir via antiviral drugs or correctly timed vaccination using the appropriate vaccine version.

Current knowledge of physiology, immunology and biochemistry suggests that the unusually hard M is not just associated with infectivity but also long COVID as the virus could resist the antimicrobial enzymes in the phagocyte and is thus able to dwell in it, which could become a virus reservoir.

An understanding of the mechanisms by which the virus hides in the body, could lead to better treatments of long COVID by targeting the reservoir via antiviral drugs or correctly timed vaccination using the appropriate vaccine version.

Clinical, experimental, and computational evidence of COVID-19 virulence and infectivity has been linked to SARS-CoV-2 shell disorder. A strong link was first discovered using an AI disorder-predicting tool, which detected an unusually hard (low disorder) outer shell among all SARS-CoV-2-related viruses but not in the 2003 SARS-CoV-1. This could account for the high infectivity found in SARS-CoV-2—but not in SARS-CoV-1—as it is believed that hard shells protect viral particles from the onslaught of the antimicrobial enzymes present in the respiratory system and saliva. As a result, much larger quantities of particles are shed by COVID-19 patients. Abnormally hard outer shells (M) are associated with burrowing animals, e.g., pangolins, and SARS-CoV-2 likely acquired these shells due to its long-term evolutionary interactions with pangolins. As for virulence, the inner shell of SARS-CoV-2 (N) has been found to exhibit lower disorder than that of SARS-CoV-1. This lower disorder is consistent with the fact that SARS-CoV-2 is less virulent than SARS-CoV-1, as higher disorder in the inner shell is associated with more efficient protein–protein binding during replication. The link between N/M disorder and virulence or infectivity falls under the umbrella of shell disorder models (SDMs), which can connect virulence, infectivity, and long COVID under one coherent concept. Evidence of the reliability and reproducibility of SDMs as applied to COVID-19 is examined. The hard M that is resisting the antimicrobial enzymes in the respiratory system can be extended to immunological enzymes, especially those found in phagocytes such as macrophages, which can therefore become a reservoir for the virus.

## Linked entities

- **Proteins:** m (miniature), N (Notch)
- **Diseases:** COVID-19 (MONDO:0100096)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** GNE (glucosamine (UDP-N-acetyl)-2-epimerase/N-acetylmannosamine kinase) [NCBI Gene 10020] {aka DMRV, GLCNE, IBM2, NM, THC12, Uae1}, MYOM2 (myomesin 2) [NCBI Gene 9172] {aka TTNAP}, VTN (vitronectin) [NCBI Gene 7448] {aka V75, VN, VNT}, S (surface glycoprotein) [NCBI Gene 43740568] {aka spike glycoprotein}, M (membrane glycoprotein) [NCBI Gene 43740571], N (nucleocapsid phosphoprotein) [NCBI Gene 43740575], ORF1ab (ORF1a polyprotein;ORF1ab polyprotein) [NCBI Gene 43740578], PFN2 (profilin 2) [NCBI Gene 5217] {aka D3S1319E, PFL}, MCC (MCC regulator of Wnt signaling pathway) [NCBI Gene 4163] {aka MCC1}, ACE2 (angiotensin converting enzyme 2) [NCBI Gene 59272] {aka ACEH}, MPEG1 (macrophage expressed 1) [NCBI Gene 219972] {aka IMD77, MPG1, MPS-1, MPS1, Mpg-1, P-2}, IFNG (interferon gamma) [NCBI Gene 3458] {aka IFG, IFI, IMD69}, MTA2 (metastasis associated 1 family member 2) [NCBI Gene 9219] {aka MTA1L1, PID}
- **Diseases:** cancer (MESH:D009369), N PID (MESH:D020919), organ failures (MESH:D009102), disorder (MESH:D009358), Shell Disorder (MESH:D003130), pulmonary (lung) failures (MESH:D012131), DENV (MESH:D003715), COVID- (MESH:D000086382), M and N (MESH:C566367), inflammation (MESH:D007249), Long COVID (MESH:D000094024), SARS (MESH:D045169), influenza (MESH:D007251), Respiratory diseases (MESH:D012140), protein disorder (MESH:D020147), HIV (MESH:D015658), MERS (MESH:D018352), injury to (MESH:D014947), rabies (MESH:D011818), infected (MESH:D007239), (N) (MESH:C536108), toxicities (MESH:D064420)
- **Chemicals:** salt (MESH:D012492), BA1 (MESH:C006646), N (MESH:D009584), S (MESH:D013455), carbohydrate (MESH:D002241), thalidomide (MESH:D013792), BANAL S (-), lipid (MESH:D008055)
- **Species:** Equus caballus (domestic horse, species) [taxon 9796], Oryctolagus cuniculus (domestic rabbit, species) [taxon 9986], Nipah virus [taxon 121791], Rattus norvegicus (brown rat, species) [taxon 10116], Equine infectious anemia virus (no rank) [taxon 11665], Human coronavirus NL63 (no rank) [taxon 277944], Gammacoronavirus (genus) [taxon 694013], Chiroptera (bats, order) [taxon 9397], Mesocricetus auratus (golden hamster, species) [taxon 10036], Orthocoronavirinae (subfamily) [taxon 2501931], Viruses (acellular root) [taxon 10239], Sus scrofa (pig, species) [taxon 9823], Cricetinae (hamsters, subfamily) [taxon 10026], Zika virus (no rank) [taxon 64320], Bacteria Latreille et al. 1825 (Bacteria stick insect, genus) [taxon 629395], Human immunodeficiency virus 1 (no rank) [taxon 11676], Ebola virus [taxon 186536], Betacoronavirus (genus) [taxon 694002], Coronaviridae (family) [taxon 11118], Bacillus sp. AT (species) [taxon 1196779], Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (no rank) [taxon 2697049], Human alphaherpesvirus 2 (no rank) [taxon 10310], flavivirus [taxon 11051], Dengue virus (no rank) [taxon 12637], Mus musculus (house mouse, species) [taxon 10090], Lyssavirus rabies (species) [taxon 11292], Severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (no rank) [taxon 694009], Human immunodeficiency virus 2 (no rank) [taxon 11709], Middle East respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus (no rank) [taxon 1335626], Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606], Ebola virus (no rank) [taxon 1570291], Hungerfordia sp. U (species) [taxon 563713], Mustela putorius furo (black ferret, subspecies) [taxon 9669]
- **Mutations:** Q498H, D614G, Q493K
- **Cell lines:** Caco2 — Homo sapiens (Human), Colon adenocarcinoma, Cancer cell line (CVCL_0025), RaTG13 — Homo sapiens (Human), Childhood T acute lymphoblastic leukemia, Cancer cell line (CVCL_1081), CALU-3 — Homo sapiens (Human), Lung adenocarcinoma, Cancer cell line (CVCL_0609), S2 — Drosophila melanogaster (Fruit fly), Spontaneously immortalized cell line (CVCL_Z232), VERO-E6 — Chlorocebus sabaeus (Green monkey), Spontaneously immortalized cell line (CVCL_0574), CALU — Homo sapiens (Human), Lung squamous cell carcinoma, Cancer cell line (CVCL_0608), COCA — Mus musculus (Mouse), Finite cell line (CVCL_G362), Pang2019 — Homo sapiens (Human), Transformed cell line (CVCL_X926), Pang2017 — Homo sapiens (Human), Finite cell line (CVCL_M992), NL63 — Homo sapiens (Human), Induced pluripotent stem cell (CVCL_1E71), Wuhan-Hu-1 — Homo sapiens (Human), Finite cell line (CVCL_B0BH)

## Figures

8 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13010774/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13010774