# The creatinine-to-cystatin C ratio as a prognostic risk-stratification biomarker in chronic kidney disease

**Authors:** Xiaohong Zeng, Dehui Liu, Licong Su, Meihua Wang, Guang Yang, Min Liang, Zhiqiang Peng

PMC · DOI: 10.3389/fnut.2026.1766312 · Frontiers in Nutrition · 2026-03-09

## TL;DR

A higher creatinine-to-cystatin C ratio is linked to lower risks of heart disease and kidney disease progression in Chinese patients with chronic kidney disease.

## Contribution

The study identifies the creatinine-to-cystatin C ratio as a novel prognostic biomarker for cardiorenal risk stratification in Chinese non-dialysis CKD patients.

## Key findings

- Higher Cr/CysC ratio is associated with 21% lower risk of cardiovascular disease.
- Each unit increase in the log-transformed Cr/CysC ratio reduces CKD progression risk by 49%.
- The ratio is independently linked to reduced risks of both CVD and CKD progression.

## Abstract

The creatinine-to-cystatin C ratio (Cr/CysC) is a promising surrogate marker for muscle mass. While associated with adverse outcomes in various diseases, its prognostic utility for cardiorenal risks in the Chinese non-dialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) population remains inadequately explored. This study aimed to investigate the association between the Cr/CysC ratio and the risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and CKD progression in a large Chinese CKD cohort.

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 16,031 non-dialysis CKD patients from the China Renal Data System (CRDS). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the relationship between the serum Cr/CysC ratio and the incidence of CVD and CKD progression over 28,189.68 person-years of follow-up.

In CKD patients, a higher serum Cr/CysC ratio was significantly associated with lower risks of both CVD events and CKD progression. Compared to the lowest quartile (Q1), patients in the highest quartile (Q4) had a 21% lower risk of CVD (HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.67–0.92) and a 49% lower risk of CKD progression (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.46–0.58). When analyzed as a continuous variable, each unit increase in the log-transformed ratio was associated with a significantly reduced risk for both outcomes (p < 0.001).

A higher serum Cr/CysC ratio is independently associated with reduced risks of CVD and CKD progression in Chinese patients with non-dialysis CKD. This ratio may serves as a useful prognostic marker for risk stratification in this population.

## Linked entities

- **Proteins:** CYSTATIN-C (cystatin-C)
- **Diseases:** chronic kidney disease (MONDO:0005300), cardiovascular disease (MONDO:0004995)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** CST3 (cystatin C) [NCBI Gene 1471] {aka ADLDWA, ARMD11, HEL-S-2}
- **Diseases:** CVD (MESH:D002318), muscle mass (MESH:C536030), CKD (MESH:D051436)
- **Chemicals:** Cr (MESH:D002857), CysC (-), creatinine (MESH:D003404)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

42 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13006245/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC13006245