# Disparities in aortic stenosis and heart failure related mortality trends by sex, race, and geography in United States: A two-decade perspective

**Authors:** Mishal Zehra, Syed Ali Hussain, Mujtaba Azhar Siddiqui, Emad Uddin Sajid, Muhammad Murtaza Nadeem, Pashmina Kumari, Tamam Mohamad

PMC · DOI: 10.1016/j.ahjo.2026.100749 · 2026-03-12

## TL;DR

This study analyzed 23 years of U.S. mortality data to identify disparities in deaths from aortic stenosis and heart failure by sex, race, and geography.

## Contribution

The study reveals persistent disparities in mortality rates for aortic stenosis and heart failure across demographic and geographic groups in the U.S.

## Key findings

- Mortality rates for aortic stenosis and heart failure increased until 2011 and then stabilized.
- Higher mortality rates were observed among males, older adults, non-Hispanic Whites, rural populations, and the Midwest region.
- Older adults had approximately 80 times higher mortality rates than middle-aged groups.

## Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate two decades of U.S. mortality patterns in patients with aortic stenosis (AS) and heart failure (HF), focusing on disparities by sex, race, and geography.

Retrospective Study.

Using the CDC WONDER database, we examined national mortality data from 1999 to 2023.

Individuals aged ≥45 years with AS and HF were included.

Trends in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) across age, sex, race, geography, and urbanization using Joinpoint regression analysis.

A total of 236,504 deaths were recorded. Overall AAMR increased until 2011 (APC: 0.78, AAMR 9.42), then stabilized through 2023 (APC: 0.07, AAMR 9.45). Mortality rates were consistently higher among males, older adults >65 years, non-Hispanic Whites, rural populations, and the Midwest region. AAMR in older adults was approximately 80 times higher than in middle-aged groups.

Although national mortality rates for AS and HF have stabilized in recent years, they are still on the rise and significant disparities persist across demographic and geographic groups. These findings highlight the need for equitable healthcare access and targeted interventions to reduce preventable cardiovascular deaths.

Central Illustration: Aortic stenosis and heart failure related mortality trends in USA from 1999 to 2023.Unlabelled Image

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** aortic stenosis (MONDO:0042981), heart failure (MONDO:0005252)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** deaths (MESH:D003643), cardiovascular deaths (MESH:D002318), AAMR (OMIM:615510), AS (MESH:D001024), HF (MESH:D006333)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Figures

5 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12999315/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12999315