# Histone modification clocks for robust cross-species biological age prediction and elucidating senescence regulation

**Authors:** Zhixin Niu, Chang Liu, Yurong Fan, Lei Gu

PMC · DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2533687123 · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026-03-10

## TL;DR

This paper introduces histone modification clocks as a new way to predict biological age, showing they work across species and reveal new insights into aging and disease.

## Contribution

Developed and validated histone-based epigenetic clocks that offer comparable accuracy to DNA methylation clocks but with novel mechanistic insights.

## Key findings

- Histone-based clocks detected age acceleration in leukemia and captured therapeutic age reversal.
- Aging-associated loci show nonlinear trajectories with peak modification levels at midlife.
- Histone clocks were validated in Drosophila, demonstrating evolutionary conservation.

## Abstract

While DNA methylation is the standard for epigenetic aging, histone modifications regulate the dynamic plasticity of the genome yet remain an untapped resource for age prediction. We developed robust histone-based clocks that parallel methylation performance but offer distinct mechanistic insights. Our study reveals that chromatin aging involves nonlinear trajectories and the fragmentation of super-enhancers-structural dynamics missed by linear models. We demonstrate these clocks’ utility in detecting age acceleration in leukemia and capturing therapeutic age reversal. Uniquely, we validate this approach in Drosophila, establishing evolutionary conservation where DNA methylation clocks fail. This work positions histone modifications as a critical, biologically rich dimension of the aging epigenome, essential for understanding disease mechanisms and monitoring rejuvenation.

Histone modifications represent an untapped resource for biological age prediction that overcomes limitations of traditional DNA methylation-based epigenetic clocks. Here, we developed and validated histone modification-based epigenetic clocks by systematically analyzing publicly available ChIP-seq datasets spanning six tissue types and six histone marks. We identified age-associated loci and constructed 36 tissue-specific epigenetic clocks that demonstrated strong resilience to technical and biological noise, with performance comparable to established DNA methylation clocks. Our models successfully detected biological age acceleration in leukemia samples and captured age reversal following therapeutic interventions. Importantly, we found that many aging-associated loci follow nonlinear trajectories with peak modification levels at midlife, revealing previously unrecognized dynamics in epigenetic aging. We observed age-related fragmentation of super enhancer regions, suggesting progressive chromatin disorganization during aging. Functional validation of a model-selected H3K27ac peak near IGF2BP3 confirmed its causal role in cellular senescence through regulation of TRA2A expression. Extending beyond mammals, we demonstrated the applicability of histone-based clocks in Drosophila melanogaster, a species lacking DNA methylation, highlighting the evolutionary conservation and broader utility of histone modifications as aging biomarkers. Our findings establish histone modifications as accurate, biologically meaningful, and robust indicators of biological age with potential applications in aging research, disease monitoring, and therapeutic development across diverse species.

## Linked entities

- **Genes:** IGF2BP3 (insulin like growth factor 2 mRNA binding protein 3) [NCBI Gene 10643], TRA2A (transformer 2 alpha homolog) [NCBI Gene 29896]
- **Diseases:** leukemia (MONDO:0004355)
- **Species:** Drosophila melanogaster (taxon 7227)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** leukemia (MESH:D007938)
- **Species:** Drosophila melanogaster (fruit fly, species) [taxon 7227]

## Full text

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## Figures

5 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12993953/full.md

## References

71 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12993953/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12993953