# Increase in knee-adjacent subcutaneous fat is associated with cartilage degeneration independent of BMI: A four-year analysis of the OAI dataset

**Authors:** Gabby B. Joseph, Charles E. McCulloch, Felix Liu, John A. Lynch, Sharmila Majumdar, Nancy E. Lane, Michael C. Nevitt, Thomas M. Link

PMC · DOI: 10.1016/j.ocarto.2026.100768 · Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Open · 2026-02-27

## TL;DR

This study found that increases in fat near the knee are linked to cartilage loss over four years, even after accounting for body weight.

## Contribution

The study shows that local fat accumulation near the knee contributes to cartilage degeneration independently of BMI.

## Key findings

- A 1 SD increase in knee-adjacent subcutaneous fat was linked to greater cartilage thickness loss in concurrent models.
- Prior-year increases in knee fat were associated with greater cartilage T2 relaxation times in lagged models.
- Knee fat changes were not significantly linked to radiographic KL grade progression.

## Abstract

To determine whether changes in knee-adjacent subcutaneous fat (kaSCF) are associated with changes in cartilage thickness, cartilage T2 relaxation times, pain, and radiographic Kellgren Lawrence (KL) grade over four years.

This study included 4644 participants from the Osteoarthritis Initiative with annual 3.0T MRIs from baseline to four years. Deep learning algorithms quantified kaSCF, cartilage thickness, and cartilage T2. Associations between standardized annual changes in kaSCF and cartilage thickness, T2, and WOMAC pain were evaluated using mixed-effects models. Concurrent (Δsame-year) and lagged (Δprior-year kaSCF predicting Δsubsequent-year outcomes) models were adjusted for age, sex, race, baseline BMI, and BMI change. Cox models evaluated whether time-varying kaSCF was associated with KL grade progression.

In concurrent models, a 1 SD greater annual increase in kaSCF was associated with a 0.035 SD greater cartilage thickness loss (β = −0.035; 95% CI −0.055 to −0.015; p = 0.001), but was not significantly associated with cartilage T2 (β = 0.012; 95% CI -0.009 to 0.032; p = 0.276) or WOMAC pain (p = 0.081). In lagged models, prior-year increases in kaSCF were associated with greater subsequent cartilage thickness loss (β = −0.034; 95% CI −0.058 to −0.009; p = 0.007) and greater cartilage T2 (β = 0.047; 95% CI 0.022 to 0.072; p < 0.001), while WOMAC pain remained non-significant (p = 0.072). Time-varying kaSCF was not significantly associated with KL progression (HR = 1.06 per SD; p = 0.31).

While effect sizes were modest, increases in kaSCF were associated with greater cartilage thinning and, in lagged models, with greater cartilage T2 over time. These findings suggest that increases in local knee adiposity may contribute to cartilage loss independent of BMI.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** osteoarthritis (MONDO:0005178)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** cartilage degeneration (MESH:D002357), adiposity (MESH:D018205), cartilage thinning (MESH:D013851), Osteoarthritis (MESH:D010003), pain (MESH:D010146)

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

35 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12993892/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12993892