Racial and ethnic disparities in fatal police shootings: Variation across U.S. states and the role of firearm ownership
Roland Neil, Shawn Bushway, Terry L. Schell, Andrew R. Morral, Rosanna Smart

TL;DR
This study examines how fatal police shootings and racial disparities vary across U.S. states, and whether firearm ownership rates are linked to these disparities.
Contribution
The study is the first to analyze state-level variation in racial disparities in fatal police shootings and their association with firearm ownership rates.
Findings
Black-White disparities in fatal police shooting rates vary by an order of magnitude across states.
Fatal police shooting rates are strongly associated with firearm ownership rates, but racial disparities are not consistently explained by these rates.
Southwestern states with large Hispanic populations contribute most to national disparities in police shootings.
Abstract
Fatal police shooting rates vary greatly across U.S. states, and states with higher firearm ownership rates tend to have higher rates of police shootings. Yet, despite well-documented national racial and ethnic disparities in fatal police shootings, prior research has not established how much these disparities vary across states, nor whether firearm ownership rates are associated with racial and ethnic disparities in police shootings. This article characterizes state-level fatal police shooting rates and racial/ethnic disparities in those rates, and tests whether firearm ownership rates are associated with these outcomes. Using 2015–2020 data on police shootings from the Washington Post, we predict fatal police shooting rates by state, year, and race/ethnicity using Bayesian multilevel count models. The degree of Black-White disparities in fatal police shooting rates varies by an order…
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Taxonomy
TopicsGun Ownership and Violence Research · Policing Practices and Perceptions · Crime Patterns and Interventions
