# Early Therapeutic Response Predicts Outcome in Chronic Constipation: A Multicenter Prospective Observational Study

**Authors:** Tadayuki Oshima, Seiji Futagami, Yoshimasa Tanaka, Mariko Hojo, Kimio Isshi, Kazuki Kakimoto, Yujiro Uchiyama, Hiroshi Iida, Atsushi Oshio, Koji Nakada

PMC · DOI: 10.14740/gr2071 · 2026-01-04

## TL;DR

This study shows that how well patients with chronic constipation respond to treatment within the first two weeks is a strong predictor of their improvement after four weeks.

## Contribution

The study introduces early therapeutic response as a novel predictor of long-term treatment outcomes in chronic constipation.

## Key findings

- Non-responsiveness at 2 weeks predicted poorer outcomes at 4 weeks for patient impression, NRS, and SBM.
- Incorporating 2-week response improved predictive accuracy for 4-week efficacy.
- Baseline characteristics were not significant predictors, but early response was.

## Abstract

Chronic constipation, common in clinical practice, requires treatment to enhance quality of life and possibly extend life expectancy. However, predictors of treatment efficacy remain largely unexplored. This study aimed to identify factors predicting treatment success in patients with chronic constipation.

A multicenter, prospective observational study evaluated patients with moderate to severe chronic constipation using the Chronic Constipation-Therapeutic Efficacy and Satisfaction Test (CC-TEST) questionnaire. Symptoms were assessed before treatment and at 2 and 4 weeks post-treatment. Multivariate analyses identified predictive factors based on three treatment efficacy assessment criteria: patient’s impression, numeric rating scale (NRS) for symptom intensity, and spontaneous bowel movement (SBM) frequency status.

Constipation medications were administered to 97 patients, with significant symptom improvements observed at 2 and 4 weeks (CC-TEST). The greatest effects were seen in hard stools, difficulty in defecation, and infrequent bowel movements. In the multiple regression analysis, baseline clinical characteristics and symptom profiles were not significant predictors of treatment response. Incorporating 2-week treatment responsiveness revealed that non-responsiveness at 2 weeks (β = 0.487), and a lower stool symptom subscale score (β = -0.344), were associated with poorer patient’s impression. For the NRS, non-responsiveness at 2 weeks (β = 0.279) was a significant predictor. For SBM, non-responsiveness at 2 weeks (β = -0.274) predicted outcomes. Including 2-week non-responsiveness improved the predictive accuracy for 4-week efficacy.

The therapeutic response at 2 weeks is the most significant predictor of subsequent treatment response at 4 weeks in patients with chronic constipation.

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** bowel movement (MESH:D012778), Chronic Constipation (MESH:D003248), SBM (MESH:D005598)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Figures

2 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12978407/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12978407