# Evolutive acid-base derangements in critically ill patients: epidemiological aspects, association with mortality and metabolic acidosis prediction

**Authors:** Carine Carrijo de Faria, Caterina Lure Nema Paiva, Luiz Marcelo Almeida de Araujo, Luis Carlos Maia Cardozo, Marcelo Park

PMC · DOI: 10.62675/2965-2774.20260160 · 2026-01-09

## TL;DR

This study examines acid-base imbalances in ICU patients, finding that metabolic acidosis is most common and linked to higher mortality, while certain improvements in acid-base levels correlate with better survival.

## Contribution

The study provides new insights into the evolution of acid-base disturbances and their association with ICU mortality and metabolic acidosis prediction.

## Key findings

- Metabolic acidosis was the most prevalent acid-base disorder at ICU admission.
- Lower standard base excess levels were associated with increased mortality.
- Improvement in standard base excess during prolonged ICU stays correlated with improved survival.

## Abstract

To assess the prevalence and evolution of acid-base disturbances at intensive care unit admission and throughout hospitalization and their association with intensive care unit mortality.

A retrospective epidemiological study was conducted, analyzing consecutive patients admitted to a single intensive care unit.

Metabolic acidosis, either isolated or combined with other disturbances, was the most prevalent disorder (58.0%), followed by respiratory alkalosis (37.6%), respiratory acidosis (25.7%), and metabolic alkalosis (12.8%). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that metabolic alkalosis combined with respiratory alkalosis was independently associated with reduced mortality (OR 0.427, 95%CI 0.194 - 0.869). Higher standard base excess at intensive care unit admission was correlated with lower mortality (OR 0.973, 95%CI 0.956 - 0.990). Maximum pCO2 variation during hospitalization showed no significant association with mortality. However, greater standard base excess improvement was independently linked to reduced mortality in patients with intensive care unit stays exceeding 5 days. Additionally, disease severity markers and younger age were predictive of metabolic acidosis both at admission and during hospitalization.

Metabolic acidosis was the most common acid-base disorder at intensive care unit admission, with lower standard base excess levels associated with increased mortality. Standard base excess improvement during prolonged intensive care unit stays correlated with improved survival. Disease severity indicators were predictive of metabolic acidosis upon admission and throughout hospitalization.

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** Metabolic acidosis (MESH:D000138), critically ill (MESH:D016638), respiratory alkalosis (MESH:D000472), base derangements (MESH:D019292), respiratory acidosis (MESH:D000142), metabolic alkalosis (MESH:D000471), acid (MESH:D011015), acid-base disorder (MESH:D000137)
- **Chemicals:** pCO2 (-)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Figures

2 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12977211/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12977211