# Long-term risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events in women with gestational diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

**Authors:** Hong Zeng, Xiaoping Yin, Li Yin, Qi Chen, Fei Yang, Yuanjunzi Shi, Danqing Zhao, Heng Luo

PMC · DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2026.1646691 · 2026-02-25

## TL;DR

Women with gestational diabetes mellitus face higher long-term risks of death and cardiovascular events compared to those without it.

## Contribution

This study provides a comprehensive meta-analysis of long-term cardiovascular risks associated with gestational diabetes.

## Key findings

- Women with GDM had a 29% higher risk of all-cause mortality.
- GDM was linked to increased risks of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke.
- The absolute mortality rate was higher in the GDM group (3.2% vs. 2.5%).

## Abstract

This meta-analysis investigates the long-term association between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and the risks of all-cause mortality and specific cardiovascular events in women.

We analyzed 9 high-quality cohort studies involving 4,191,840 women (age range: 24.5-34.6 years).

Compared to women without GDM, those with a history of GDM had significantly increased risks of: All-cause mortality (HR = 1.29, 95% CI 1.09-1.52),Acute heart failure (HR = 1.74, 95% CI 1.36-2.23), Myocardial infarction (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.38-1.91), Ischemic stroke (HR = 1.70, 95% CI 1.28-2.26). Heterogeneity was observed for all outcomes except myocardial infarction. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the findings. The absolute incidence of all-cause mortality was also higher in the GDM group (3.2% vs. 2.5%). No significant publication bias was detected.

GDM is significantly associated with elevated long-term risks of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular morbidity. These findings underscore the necessity for long-term monitoring and preventive strategies in this population, even after postpartum glucose normalization.

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42025649099.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** gestational diabetes mellitus (MONDO:0005406), myocardial infarction (MONDO:0005068), ischemic stroke (MONDO:1060198)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** GDM (MESH:D016640), heart failure (MESH:D006333), Ischemic stroke (MESH:D002544), Myocardial infarction (MESH:D009203)
- **Chemicals:** glucose (MESH:D005947)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Figures

5 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12975557/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12975557