# Leptospirosis Incidence at Four Sites in Sub-Saharan Africa and South East Asia: An International Multi-Site Hybrid Surveillance Study

**Authors:** John A Crump, Mathieu Picardeau, Sara A Ajanovic, John Bradley, Justina M Bramugy, Mabvuto Chimenya, Edward W Green, Sham Lal, David C W Mabey, Mayfong Mayxay, Paul N Newton, Ioana D Olaru, Heidi Hopkins, Christian Bottomley, Benjamin Amos, Benjamin Amos, Elizabeth A Ashley, Oliver Baerenbold, Stéphanie Baghoumina, Núria Balanza, Tsitsi Bandason, Quique Bassat, Tapan Bhattacharyya, Stuart D Blacksell, Zumilda Boca, Clare I R Chandler, Joseph Chipanga, Anelsio Cossa, Ethel Dauya, Catherine Davis, Xavier de Lamballerie, Justin Dixon, Somyoth Douangphachanh, Audrey Dubot-Pérès, Michelle M Durkin, Nicholas A Feasey, Rashida A Ferrand, Colin Fink, Elizabeth J A Fitchett, Alessandro Gerada, Stephen R Graves, Becca L Handley, Coll D Hutchison, Risara Jaksuwan, Jessica Jervis, Jayne Jones, Kevin C Kain, Suzanne H Keddie, Khamxeng Khounpaseuth, Katharina Kranzer, Khamfong Kunlaya, Pankaj Lal, David G Lalloo, Manophab Luangraj, Yoel Lubell, Eleanor MacPherson, Forget Makoga, Sengchanh Manichan, Florian Maurer, Michael Miles, Polycarp Mogeni, Campos Mucasse, Chelsea Nguyen, Vilayouth Phimolsarnnousith, Chrissy h Roberts, Amphone Sengduangphachanh, Siho Sengsavang, Molly Sibanda, Somvai Singha, John Stenos, Ampai Tanganuchitcharnchai, Hira Tanvir, James E Ussher, Marta Valente, Marie A Voice, Manivanh Vongsouvath, Msopole Wamaka, Shunmay Yeung

PMC · DOI: 10.1093/ofid/ofag021 · Open Forum Infectious Diseases · 2026-03-09

## TL;DR

This study estimates leptospirosis incidence in four countries, showing high rates in Laos, Malawi, and Mozambique, highlighting the need for more data to improve global disease burden estimates.

## Contribution

The study provides new leptospirosis incidence estimates from under-researched sites in Sub-Saharan Africa and South East Asia.

## Key findings

- Leptospirosis incidence was highest in Laos and Malawi, with rates of 1302 and 1337 per 100,000 population per year.
- Mozambique had a lower but still significant incidence rate of 187 per 100,000 population per year.
- Incidence estimates from pre-COVID years were similar to the overall study period, indicating consistent trends.

## Abstract

There are few leptospirosis incidence studies despite such estimates being central to accurate burden of disease estimation. We used data from the multicenter Febrile Illness Evaluation in a Broad Range of Endemicities (FIEBRE) study to make leptospirosis incidence estimates from new sites.

Febrile patients aged ≥2 months in Laos, Malawi, Mozambique, and Zimbabwe were enrolled and underwent standardized clinical and exposure assessment. Acute and convalescent sera were tested by Leptospira microscopic agglutination test and acute plasma by lfb1 polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Participants with ≥4-fold rise in antibody titer between acute and convalescent sample, or Leptospira PCR positive for the lfb1, had confirmed leptospirosis. Leptospirosis incidence was estimated after adjusting for incomplete enrollment of febrile patients, availability of paired sera, and use of study healthcare facilities by febrile patients based on healthcare utilization data from community controls.

Leptospirosis incidence (95% CI) per 100 000 population per year was 1302 (1011, 1677) in Laos, 1337 (874, 2044) in Malawi, 187 (85, 409) in Mozambique, and could not be calculated for Zimbabwe. Sensitivity analysis restricted to pre-COVID years of 2018 and 2019 produced similar estimates of incidence to that of the whole study period.

Leptospirosis incidence was high at the Laos, Malawi, and Mozambique sites and at the upper end of published incidence estimates from the Asia and Africa regions. We recommend more leptospirosis incidence studies be done in areas lacking data to strengthen leptospirosis global burden of disease estimates and to stimulate progress on diagnosis, management, and control.

Leptospirosis incidence was high at sites in Laos, Malawi, and Mozambique previously lacking data. Leptospirosis is a major cause of febrile illness and more incidence studies are needed to strengthen burden estimates and inform action on diagnosis, management, and prevention.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** leptospirosis (MONDO:0005825)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** HNF1A (HNF1 homeobox A) [NCBI Gene 6927] {aka HNF-1-alpha, HNF-1A, HNF1, HNF1alpha, IDDM20, LFB1}, MAT1A (methionine adenosyltransferase 1A) [NCBI Gene 4143] {aka MAT, MATA1, SAMS, SAMS1}
- **Diseases:** Leptospirosis (MESH:D007922), COVID (MESH:D000086382), infected (MESH:D007239), deaths (MESH:D003643), diarrheal disease (MESH:D004403), respiratory infection (MESH:D012141), Infectious Diseases (MESH:D003141), Febrile Illness (MESH:D005334), malaria (MESH:D008288), Febrile (MESH:D000071072)
- **Chemicals:** EDTA (MESH:D004492)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606], Leptospira fainei (species) [taxon 48782], Leptospira (genus) [taxon 171], Oryza sativa (Asian cultivated rice, species) [taxon 4530]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

32 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12970525/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12970525