# Is black carbon associated with cardiovascular and cancer mortality? Evidence from the Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort

**Authors:** Cale Lawlor, Ebba Malmqvist, Daniel Oudin Åström, Tanya Andersson Nystedt, Jule Bamberger, Kajsa Pira, Rina So, Jiawei Zhang, Youn-Hee Lim, Zorana J. Andersson, Leo Stockfelt, Anna Oudin

PMC · DOI: 10.1080/16549716.2026.2636879 · 2026-03-05

## TL;DR

This study finds that black carbon pollution is strongly linked to cardiovascular deaths but not cancer deaths in a low-pollution area.

## Contribution

The study provides novel evidence that black carbon has a stronger association with cardiovascular mortality than other pollutants like PM2.5 or NOx.

## Key findings

- Black carbon exposure was consistently linked to cardiovascular mortality in fully adjusted models.
- The association with cardiovascular mortality was stronger and more robust than for PM2.5 or NOx.
- No clear association was found between any pollutant and cancer mortality.

## Abstract

Black carbon (BC) is an air pollutant of growing concern due to its adverse impacts on health and climate. Growing evidence suggests that BC could have a number of negative impacts on morbidity and mortality, but more evidence is needed.

The objectives of this study are to quantify any associations between BC exposure and cause-specific (cardiovascular and cancer) mortality outcomes.

Using the Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort linked with a high-resolution dispersion model, we examined the association between long-term exposure to locally emitted BC, nitrogen oxides (NOx) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with cardiovascular and cancer mortality.

In fully adjusted models, BC exposure was consistently associated with cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.15 [1.06–1.26] per IQR increase), an association that was stronger and more robust than for PM2.5 or NOx. This association was present across all models, all time periods and both sets of exposure intervals. This association was stronger than with the other pollutants. Less clear association was found between any pollutant and cancer mortality.

This study shows associations between BC exposure and especially cardiovascular mortality, consistent with international evidence showing similar impacts. For cancer mortality, there were tendencies of an association with BC but less clear than for cardiovascular mortality. These findings suggest a unique role of BC in air pollution-related cardiovascular mortality and support the need for action on mitigation of air pollution in general and BC in particular.

Main findings: Black carbon was associated with cardiovascular mortality, but not cancer mortality, in this cohort in a low pollution environment.Added knowledge: Black carbon was more strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality than other pollutants.Global health impact on policy and action: These findings strengthen the call for regulation of black carbon pollution for both health and environmental protection.

Main findings: Black carbon was associated with cardiovascular mortality, but not cancer mortality, in this cohort in a low pollution environment.

Added knowledge: Black carbon was more strongly associated with cardiovascular mortality than other pollutants.

Global health impact on policy and action: These findings strengthen the call for regulation of black carbon pollution for both health and environmental protection.

## Linked entities

- **Chemicals:** black carbon (PubChem CID 172866199)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** chronic kidney disease (MESH:D051436), lung cancer (MESH:D008175), Cancer (MESH:D009369), respiratory disease (MESH:D012140), mitochondrial (MESH:D028361), Inflammation (MESH:D007249), Fibrosis (MESH:D005355), cardiometabolic diseases (MESH:D024821), BC (MESH:D007898), COPD (MESH:D029424), cerebrovascular disease (MESH:D002561), toxicity (MESH:D064420), myocardial infarction (MESH:D009203), Cardiovascular toxicity (MESH:D002318), cardiac mortality (MESH:D003643), oesophageal, stomach, colorectal, hepatic and pancreatic cancers (MESH:D015179), carotid atherosclerosis (MESH:D002340), diseases of the nervous system (MESH:D009422), atherosclerotic plaques (MESH:D058226), hyperplasia (MESH:D006965), gastrointestinal cancer (MESH:D005770), ischaemic heart disease (MESH:D006331), type 2 diabetes (MESH:D003924)
- **Chemicals:** carbon (MESH:D002244), metal (MESH:D008670), PAHs (MESH:D011084), BC - black carbon (-), PM (MESH:D011399), Alcohol (MESH:D000438), lipid (MESH:D008055), NOx (MESH:D009589)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12964465