# Safeguarding climate-resilient mangroves requires only a moderate increase in the global protected area

## TL;DR

Strategically expanding mangrove protected areas can significantly improve climate resilience with only a small increase in coverage.

## Contribution

The study shows that climate-smart conservation plans for mangroves require only a moderate increase in protected area.

## Key findings

- Climate-smart plans offer 13.3% more benefits with a 7.3% increase in protected area.
- Transboundary conservation plans protect more climate-resilient mangroves than national plans.
- Current mangrove protected areas have poor climate resilience and need improvement.

## Abstract

Climate change and anthropogenic activities threaten biodiversity and ecosystem services. Climate-smart conservation plans address these challenges by ensuring protection of some climate-resilient areas. However, integrating climate change in the design of conservation plans is often deemed too expensive, as it may require larger networks or protecting more costly sites from a conservation perspective. Using mangroves as a case study, we evaluate the efficiency of protecting mangroves in climate-smart versus climate-naïve reserve networks. We find that climate-smart conservation plans could provide sizable benefits (13.3%) for relatively moderate increases in protected area (+7.3%). Moreover, transboundary plans, involving cooperation among countries, require less area and protect more climate-resilient mangroves than nation-by-nation plans. Implementing these strategies would improve the current protected area network for mangroves, which currently has poor climate resilience. Our methodology could potentially be tested on other ecosystems, assuming sufficient information exists regarding their distribution, biodiversity, and resilience to climate change.

Mangrove ecosystems are facing severe climate threats. However, this study shows that strategically expanding protected areas to include the most climate-resilient sites can safeguard biodiversity and ecosystem services for the future, and this can be achieved with only a modest increase in protected area.