# An Assessment of the Population Dynamics and Evolutionary History of the Dingo

**Authors:** Carlo Pacioni, Danielle Stephens

PMC · DOI: 10.1002/ece3.73152 · Ecology and Evolution · 2026-02-27

## TL;DR

This study examines the population dynamics and evolutionary history of dingoes in Australia, finding strong evidence for two distinct evolutionary units.

## Contribution

The study provides statistical testing of hypotheses regarding dingo population structure and management impacts.

## Key findings

- There is strong statistical support for two evolutionarily independent dingo units.
- Current methods lack sufficient power to determine if management impacts population size changes.
- Alternative migration models and demographic analyses were used to test hypotheses.

## Abstract

Dingoes (
Canis familiaris
) are an iconic Australian species and the top land predator. Much interest exists in their radiation process and evolutionary history in Australia. Recent research indicated that two evolutionarily independent units exist and that detected effective population size changes are due to the active control of this species. However, these conclusions have been critiqued because they were not explicitly tested or because the model assumptions may not be met in dingoes. We set out to statistically test these hypotheses by comparing alternative migration models and carrying out demographic analyses. We conclude that there is strong statistical support for the existence of the two evolutionary units. However, the analysis carried out to estimate the time of the effective population size changes does not have the required power to conclusively demonstrate whether the current management is having an impact on dingo populations. Future studies and different approaches will be needed to test this hypothesis.

Dingoes (
Canis familiaris
) are an iconic Australian species and the top land predator. Recent research indicated that two evolutionarily independent units exist and that the detected effective population size changes are due to the active control of this species. However, these conclusions have been critiqued by some because they were not explicitly tested or because the model assumptions may not be met in dingoes. We set out to statistically test these hypotheses by comparing alternative migration models and carrying out demographic analyses.

## Full-text entities

- **Chemicals:** thylacine (-)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606], Canis lupus familiaris (dog, subspecies) [taxon 9615]

## Full text

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## Figures

6 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12948645/full.md

## References

31 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12948645/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12948645