# Frailty as a Key Determinant of In-Hospital Mortality in 58,040 Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia: Evidence from a Chilean Cohort

**Authors:** Yeny Concha-Cisternas, Manuel Vásquez-Muñoz, Rodrigo Yañez-Sepúlveda, Sergio Sazo-Rodríguez, Felipe Diaz Canales, Christopher Fuentes Orellana, Patricia Schonffeldt, Eduardo Guzmán-Muñoz

PMC · DOI: 10.3390/jcm15041442 · 2026-02-12

## TL;DR

This study shows that frailty is a major factor in predicting hospital deaths from pneumonia in older adults in Chile.

## Contribution

The study provides new evidence from Latin America on the role of frailty in predicting mortality in older pneumonia patients.

## Key findings

- Frailty was a strong independent predictor of in-hospital mortality in older adults with pneumonia.
- Advanced age, male sex, and higher DRG severity were also significant mortality predictors.
- Comorbidity burden lost significance after adjusting for other factors.

## Abstract

Background: Pneumonia is a leading cause of hospitalization and death among older adults, reflecting both patient vulnerability and the quality of acute care. However, evidence from Latin America remains limited. Objective: to examine the association between frailty level assessed using the HFRS and in-hospital mortality among older adults hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the Chilean National Health Fund (Fondo Nacional de Salud, FONASA) database, including patients aged ≥ 60 years hospitalized with CAP (ICD-10 codes J12–J18) between 2019 and 2024. Variables analyzed included age, sex, frailty level assessed by the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), comorbidity burden (Charlson Comorbidity Index), Diagnosis-Related Group (DRG) severity level, and relative weight. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan–Meier curves and log-rank tests. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models estimated adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: The cohort comprised 58,040 patients (51.2% women). Overall, in-hospital mortality was 19.3%. Independent predictors of mortality included advanced age (≥90 years: HR = 2.41; 95% CI: 2.27–2.56), male sex (HR = 1.10; 95% CI: 1.06–1.14), high frailty risk (HR = 1.57; 95% CI: 1.47–1.68), and greater DRG severity (per level: HR = 1.66; 95% CI: 1.58–1.73). The Charlson Comorbidity Index lost significance after adjustment. Conclusions: Frailty emerged as a strong and independent determinant of in-hospital mortality in older adults with CAP. Systematic frailty assessment combined with comorbidity indices could improve risk stratification and guide more personalized, evidence-based clinical management in acute care settings.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** pneumonia (MONDO:0005249)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** NFKB1 (nuclear factor kappa B subunit 1) [NCBI Gene 4790] {aka CVID12, EBP-1, KBF1, NF-kB, NF-kB1, NF-kappa-B1}, IL1B (interleukin 1 beta) [NCBI Gene 3553] {aka IL-1, IL1-BETA, IL1F2, IL1beta}, IL6 (interleukin 6) [NCBI Gene 3569] {aka BSF-2, BSF2, CDF, HGF, HSF, IFN-beta-2}, TNF (tumor necrosis factor) [NCBI Gene 7124] {aka DIF, IMD127, TNF-alpha, TNFA, TNFSF2, TNLG1F}
- **Diseases:** hypoxia (MESH:D000860), Frailty (MESH:D000073496), infectious complications (MESH:D003141), post-COVID (MESH:D000094024), CAP (MESH:D003147), aspiration pneumonia (MESH:D011015), Pneumonia (MESH:D011014), bacterial pneumonias (MESH:D018410), muscle deterioration (MESH:D009135), COVID (MESH:D000086382), infection (MESH:D007239), multiorgan failure (MESH:D051437), functional decline (MESH:D060825), DRG (MESH:D001523), pulmonary tissue damage (MESH:D055370), Acquired Pneumonia (MESH:D000077299), cough (MESH:D003371), swallowing impairments (MESH:D003680), sarcopenia (MESH:D055948), inflammation (MESH:D007249), respiratory infections (MESH:D012141), Comorbidity (MESH:D004194), injury to (MESH:D014947), hypoventilation (MESH:D007040), respiratory diseases (MESH:D012140), death (MESH:D003643)
- **Chemicals:** ATP (MESH:D000255)
- **Species:** Streptococcus pneumoniae (species) [taxon 1313], Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (no rank) [taxon 2697049], Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Figures

2 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12942182/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12942182