# Accurate estimation of lesion metrics in radiofrequency ablation using machine learning model

**Authors:** Masateru Takigawa, Shuji Tsunoda, Takatoshi Shigeta, Junji Yamaguchi, Miho Negishi, Masaki Honda, Ryo Tateishi, Iwanari Kawamura, Tasuku Yamamoto, Kentaro Goto, Takuro Nishimura, Kazuya Yamao, Susumu Tao, Shinsuke Miyazaki, Koichi Fujiwawra, Tetsuo Sasano

PMC · DOI: 10.1093/ehjopen/oeag013 · European Heart Journal Open · 2026-02-09

## TL;DR

A machine learning model improves the accuracy of predicting lesion metrics during radiofrequency ablation, outperforming traditional methods.

## Contribution

A novel machine learning model using multiple RFCA parameters enhances lesion metric estimation accuracy.

## Key findings

- The ML model achieved high accuracy in predicting lesion depth (r2 = 0.87), length (r2 = 0.82), and volume (r2 = 0.86).
- Total ablation energy and duration were key predictors for lesion metrics, with impedance drop contributing to surface area and length predictions.

## Abstract

Conventional parameters for estimating lesions in radiofrequency (RF) catheter ablation (RFCA), such as ablation energy (AE), contact force (CF), and impedance variation, often yield suboptimal results. This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to improve the accuracy of lesion metric estimation in RFCA.

RF energies (30–50W) were applied to excised ventricular myocardium using RFCA with CFs of 10  or 20 g for durations between 10 and 180 s, with various orientations. Correlations between total AE, force–time integral, impedance-drop, and lesion metrics were evaluated and compared to ML model predictions, using eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). The dataset was split for training (75%) and validation (25%). Feature importance for each lesion metric was also assessed. A total of 1142 ablations were analysed. Total AE had the strongest correlation with max depth, max length, and volume (r2 = 0.63, 0.50, 0.69), followed by force–time integral (r2 = 0.54, 0.45, 0.62) and impedance-drop (r2 = 0.33, 0.45, 0.31). Impedance drop was most strongly associated with surface area (r2 = 0.48). The ML model accurately predicted lesion metrics: r2 = 0.87 for depth, 0.82 for length, 0.86 for volume, and 0.69 for surface area, with low root mean square error values. Total AE and ablation duration were key predictors, with impedance drop contributing more to surface area and length predictions.

ML using multiple RFCA parameters improves lesion metric predictions, enhancing lesion estimation beyond conventional metrics, potentially improving procedural guidance and safety.

Graphical Abstract

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** ML (MESH:D007859), arrhythmia (MESH:D001145), lesion (MESH:D009059), complication (MESH:D008107), PV (MESH:D011087), CF (MESH:D003877), ventricular tachycardia (MESH:D017180)
- **Chemicals:** saline (MESH:D012965)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

33 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12941214/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12941214