# Significant Impact of Previous Major Cardiovascular Events (MACEs) and Viremia on Risk of New MACEs in People Living with HIV on Antiretroviral Therapy

## TL;DR

People with HIV on treatment who have high virus levels or prior heart events are at greater risk for new heart issues.

## Contribution

Identifies the combined impact of viremia and prior cardiovascular events on future MACEs in HIV patients on ART.

## Key findings

- PWH with HIV-RNA > 1000 copies/mL at baseline had a 2.2-fold higher risk of MACEs.
- Previous MACEs increased the risk of new MACEs by 3.4-fold.
- Older age, longer ART duration, and metabolic factors also correlated with higher MACE risk.

## Abstract

Background: Major cardiovascular events (MACEs) in people with HIV (PWH) may be partly related to antiretroviral therapy (ART) and persistent inflammation. The aim of the study was to evaluate the association between targeted variables and MACEs. Methods: Retrospective, single-center study conducted on PWH receiving ART between January 2010 and April 2024, classified according to HIV-RNA levels: virological suppression (<50 copies/mL), low-level viremia (50–200 or 200–1000 copies/mL), and non-suppression (≥1000 copies/mL). Viremia was considered as a time-dependent variable and by cumulative years in each category. A Cox proportional hazards model for multivariate time-to-event analysis assessed associations between virological status and MACEs. Results: We included 3349 PWH followed for a median time of 14 years (interquartile range, IQR 11.2–14.2). At baseline, 2794 (83.4%) were virologically suppressed, 189 (5.6%) and 90 (2.7%) presented 50–200 and 200–1000 copies/mL, respectively, and 276 (8.2%) were non-suppressed. During the follow-up, virological suppression was documented at least once in 3295 (98.4%), low-level viremia in 1579 (47.1%) with 50–200 copies/mL and 794 (23.7%) with 200–1000 copies/mL, and HIV-RNA > 1000 copies/mL in 844 (25.2%). Overall, 300 MACEs occurred, including 53 (17.7%) repeated events, with total incident rate of 0.00976 events per person-year. The risk of MACEs was significantly associated with previous MACEs (Hazard Ratio, HR 3.385, p-value < 0.001) and viremia > 1000 copies/mL at baseline (HR 2.209, p-value 0.039). Their onset was also significantly associated with greater age at baseline and years on ART, hypertension, diabetes, lower HDL, and higher triglycerides. Conclusions: PWH on ART with HIV-RNA > 1000 copies/mL at baseline and a previous MACE presented higher risk of developing MACEs.