# Association between body mass index and risk of breast cancer according to breast cancer subtypes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

**Authors:** Chiara Dauccia, Marco Bruzzone, Luca Arecco, Eva Blondeaux, Marianna Sirico, Riccardo Gerosa, Maria Alice Franzoi, Mariana Brandão, Lorenzo Perrone, Paolo Pedrazzoli, Christine Desmedt, Serena Di Cosimo, Claudio Vernieri, Laetitia Collet, Matteo Lambertini, Evandro de Azambuja, Elisa Agostinetto

PMC · DOI: 10.1016/j.breast.2026.104710 · The Breast : Official Journal of the European Society of Mastology · 2026-01-27

## TL;DR

Higher BMI increases the risk of ER-positive breast cancer, especially in postmenopausal women, while effects differ by menopausal status and cancer subtype.

## Contribution

This study clarifies how BMI affects breast cancer risk by subtype and menopausal status through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

## Key findings

- Obesity is linked to a moderate increased risk of ER-positive breast cancer.
- Premenopausal overweight is associated with lower ER-positive but higher ER-negative and TNBC risk.
- Postmenopausal obesity shows a stronger association with ER-positive breast cancer.

## Abstract

Higher body mass index (BMI) is a risk factor for breast cancer (BC) development, but the relationship with BC subtypes in pre- and post-menopausal women remains unclear.

We performed a systematic search from PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases until 09/24 (CRD42020206108) for cohort and case-control studies assessing the association between BMI and BC subtypes and/or menopausal status. BC risk in overweight (BMI 25–29.9 kg/m2) or obese (BMI≥30 kg/m2) subjects was compared to risk in under/normal weight (BMI<25 kg/m2). BC subtypes were classified as i) ER-positive (regardless HER2-status) ii) ER-negative (regardless HER2-status) iii) HER2-positive (regardless ER-status); iv) triple-negative BC (TNBC).

Out of 2841 records screened, 33 studies (9 cohort and 24 case-control) including 2,103,181 women were eligible. Obesity was associated with a modestly increased risk of ER-positive BC (pOR 1.13; 95 % CI 1.03–1.24). In postmenopausal women, obesity was associated with a moderate higher risk of ER-positive BC (pOR 1.29; 95 % CI 1.18–1.41), while overweight was associated with an increased risk of ER-positive (pOR 1.14; 95 % CI 1.06–1.22) and HER2-positive BC (pOR 1.13; 95 % CI 1.05–1.22). In premenopausal women, overweight was linked with reduced risk of ER-positive (pOR 0.80 95 % CI 0.71–0.91) but increased risk of ER-negative BC (pOR 1.15 95 % CI 1.05–1.26) and TNBC (pOR 1.30; 95 % CI 1.15–1.47).

Obesity was associated with a modestly higher risk of ER-positive BC, driven by postmenopausal status. Considering potential confounders, in premenopausal women, higher BMI was associated with lower risk of ER-positive BC, and an increased risk of ER-negative BC.

•Obesity is associated with a moderate increased risk of ER-positive BC.•The risk of BC by BMI differs according to menopausal status•Postmenopausal obesity shows stronger association with ER-positive BC•Further studies are needed to assess BMI-related breast cancer risk.

Obesity is associated with a moderate increased risk of ER-positive BC.

The risk of BC by BMI differs according to menopausal status

Postmenopausal obesity shows stronger association with ER-positive BC

Further studies are needed to assess BMI-related breast cancer risk.

## Linked entities

- **Proteins:** EREG (epiregulin), ERBB2 (erb-b2 receptor tyrosine kinase 2)
- **Diseases:** breast cancer (MONDO:0004989), HER2-positive breast cancer (MONDO:0006244), triple-negative breast cancer (MONDO:0005494)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** ERBB2 (erb-b2 receptor tyrosine kinase 2) [NCBI Gene 2064] {aka CD340, HER-2, HER-2/neu, HER2, MLN 19, MLN-19}, EREG (epiregulin) [NCBI Gene 2069] {aka EPR, ER, Ep}
- **Diseases:** overweight (MESH:D050177), TNBC (MESH:D064726), BC (MESH:D001943), Obesity (MESH:D009765)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

_Full body text omitted from this summary view._ Fetch the complete paper as Markdown: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12905738/full.md

## Figures

5 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12905738/full.md

## References

67 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12905738/full.md

---
Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12905738