# A Multi-Strategy Enhanced Whale Optimization Algorithm for Long Short-Term Memory—Application to Short-Term Power Load Forecasting for Microgrid Buildings

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a new forecasting method combining whale optimization and LSTM networks to improve short-term power load predictions in microgrids.

## Contribution

The novel contribution is a hybrid model using CEEMD, multi-strategy enhanced WOA, and LSTM for accurate microgrid load forecasting.

## Key findings

- The proposed model improves forecasting accuracy for microgrid power loads.
- CEEMD decomposition and enhanced WOA optimization enhance LSTM performance.
- Validation on UC San Diego data confirms the model's reliability.

## Abstract

High-accuracy short-term electric load forecasting is essential for ensuring the security of power systems and enhancing energy efficiency. Power load sequences are characterized by strong randomness, non-stationarity, and nonlinearity over time. To improve the precision and efficiency of short-term load forecasting in microgrids, a hybrid predictive model combining Complementary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (CEEMD) and a multi-strategy enhanced Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks has been proposed. Initially, this study employs CEEMD to decompose the short-term electric load time series. Subsequently, a multi-strategy enhanced WOA with chaotic initialization and reverse learning is introduced to enhance the search capability of model parameters and avoid entrapment in local optima. Finally, considering the distinct characteristics of each component, the multi-strategy improved WOA is utilized to optimize the LSTM model, establishing individual predictive models for each component, and the predictions are then aggregated. The proposed method’s forecasting accuracy has been validated through multiple case studies using the UC San Diego microgrid data, demonstrating its reliability and providing a solid foundation for microgrid system planning and stable operation.