# CRP–TyG index and risk of new‑onset central retinal artery occlusion and subsequent major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events: a propensity score‑matched cohort study

**Authors:** Hang Liu, Fangyuan Zhu, Hao Xie, Shuo Li, Faxi Wang, Liang Hu, Ting Chen, Xuan Xiao

PMC · DOI: 10.1186/s40001-025-03807-6 · European Journal of Medical Research · 2026-01-12

## TL;DR

The study shows that a blood marker called CTI is linked to a higher risk of a rare eye condition and future heart and brain problems.

## Contribution

The study identifies CTI as a potential biomarker for predicting central retinal artery occlusion and subsequent cardiovascular events.

## Key findings

- Higher CTI values are independently associated with increased risk of central retinal artery occlusion.
- CRAO patients with CTI above 9.810 have a significantly higher incidence of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events.
- Elevated CTI predicts earlier onset of adverse events, particularly acute coronary syndromes and stroke.

## Abstract

The C‑reactive protein–triglyceride glucose index (CTI), a composite marker of systemic inflammation and metabolic status, has been associated with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular risk. Its role in central retinal artery occlusion (CRAO) and subsequent adverse outcomes is unclear.

In this cohort study, 122 CRAO patients and 488 matched controls who underwent coronary angiography without coronary artery disease were analyzed. CTI was calculated as 0.412 × ln [CRP (mg/L) + 0.5 × ln [TG × FPG(mg/dL)]. Logistic regression adjusted for demographic, clinical, laboratory, and medication variables was used to explore the relationship between CTI and the risk of CRAO. Restricted cubic spline models assessed the dose–response relationship between CTI and CRAO risk. The primary endpoint was CRAO and the secondary endpoint was major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) during the 36‑month follow‑up.

Higher CTI was independently associated with CRAO (adjusted OR = 1.46, 95% CI 1.14–1.88; P = 0.003). Restricted cubic spline analysis identified a CTI threshold of 9.810. CRAO patients with CTI > 9.810 had a higher incidence of MACCEs (31.1% vs. 10.1%, P < 0.001), particularly acute coronary syndromes (20.3% vs. 7.1%, P < 0.001). In subgroup analysis, CRAO patients with CTI > 9.810 had the highest MACCEs rate (40.0%) and significantly greater risk of all‑cause death, stroke, and acute coronary syndromes (all adjusted P < 0.05) compared with other groups. Time‑to‑event analysis revealed that among all groups, CRAO patients with CTI > 9.810 had the shortest median time to MACCEs occurrence at 6 months (IQR,  4–11).

Elevated CTI is independently associated with increased CRAO risk and predicts higher adverse MACCEs outcomes, suggesting CTI as a potential biomarker for risk stratification and secondary prevention in CRAO patients.

Higher CTI was independently associated with an increased risk of CRAO, with restricted cubic spline analysis identifying a threshold of 9.810 for elevated risk. Patients with elevated CTI presented a higher incidence and earlier onset of MACCEs, particularly acute coronary syndromes, stroke, and all‑cause death. These findings suggest that CTI may serve as a practical biomarker for risk stratification and to guide early preventive strategies in CRAO patients, potentially reducing subsequent cardiovascular and cerebrovascular complications.

Higher CTI was independently associated with an increased risk of CRAO, with restricted cubic spline analysis identifying a threshold of 9.810 for elevated risk. Patients with elevated CTI presented a higher incidence and earlier onset of MACCEs, particularly acute coronary syndromes, stroke, and all‑cause death. These findings suggest that CTI may serve as a practical biomarker for risk stratification and to guide early preventive strategies in CRAO patients, potentially reducing subsequent cardiovascular and cerebrovascular complications.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** central retinal artery occlusion (MONDO:0001633), acute coronary syndromes (MONDO:0005542), stroke (MONDO:0005098)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** CRP (C-reactive protein) [NCBI Gene 1401] {aka PTX1}
- **Diseases:** cardiovascular and cerebrovascular (MESH:D002318), death (MESH:D003643), CRAO (MESH:D015356), coronary artery disease (MESH:D003324), inflammation (MESH:D007249), acute coronary syndromes (MESH:D054058), stroke (MESH:D020521)
- **Chemicals:** TG (MESH:D013866), triglyceride (MESH:D014280), glucose (MESH:D005947), TyG (-)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12888303