# Rethinking misinformation through plausibility estimation and confidence calibration

## TL;DR

This paper suggests improving people's ability to judge the plausibility of information and manage confidence under uncertainty to combat misinformation.

## Contribution

The novelty lies in proposing plausibility estimation and confidence calibration as complementary strategies to truth detection for addressing misinformation.

## Key findings

- Truth detection alone is insufficient for combating misinformation.
- Enhancing plausibility estimation and confidence calibration could offer a new approach to misinformation.
- Decision-making research supports the potential of these strategies.

## Abstract

Democracies are vulnerable to misinformation. Prevailing interventions emphasize truth detection, but offer no panacea. We argue that strengthening people’s ability to estimate the plausibility of information and calibrate their confidence under uncertainty offers a complementary route to addressing misinformation.

Prevailing interventions against misinformation emphasize truth detection, but offer no panacea. Research into decision-making suggests that strengthening people’s ability to estimate the plausibility of information and to calibrate their confidence under uncertainty might offer a complementary route.