# Population Structure and Genetic Diversity Analyses Reveal Isolation That May Imperil the Northernmost Colony of the Endangered Australian Sea Lion

**Authors:** Vanessa Morris, Anthony Chariton, Robert Harcourt, Catherine E. Grueber, Isabelle Charrier, Holly Raudino, Kelly Waples, Roger Kirkwood, Simon D. Goldsworthy, Benjamin J. Pitcher

PMC · DOI: 10.1002/ece3.73038 · 2026-02-04

## TL;DR

This study shows that the northernmost Australian sea lion population is highly isolated and has low genetic diversity, making it vulnerable to environmental changes and potential extinction.

## Contribution

The study reveals the genetic isolation and low diversity of the northernmost Australian sea lion population, highlighting its heightened vulnerability.

## Key findings

- The Houtman Abrolhos sea lion population is highly differentiated from other populations.
- This population exhibits extremely low genetic diversity.
- The isolation and low diversity make the population vulnerable to environmental change and stochastic events.

## Abstract

Marine environments are experiencing rapid warming, substantially altering ecosystems. Populations at the edge of a species' range are more vulnerable to environmental change as they are first affected and may have limited dispersal opportunities. This vulnerability may be exacerbated in species with specialised foraging and breeding strategies. The Australian sea lion (
Neophoca cinerea
) is an endangered otariid species that breeds across a ~3000 km range in southern Australia. At the most north‐westerly edge of the species' distribution, Australian sea lions breed across multiple islands within the Houtman Abrolhos Archipelago, Western Australia, a tropical‐temperate location affected by marine heatwaves. This study aimed to examine the genetic structure and diversity of the Australian sea lions from the Houtman Abrolhos Archipelago compared to other populations in the species' range. One hundred and twenty‐five individuals, 19 from Houtman Abrolhos, were genotyped from 19 sample sites across Western Australia and South Australia. Our findings showed that individuals from the Houtman Abrolhos grouped into a single population, which was highly differentiated and had extremely low genetic diversity. The isolation and limited genetic variation of the Houtman Abrolhos Australian sea lion population suggest that it is extremely vulnerable to extirpation. Our study highlights the vulnerability of isolated populations of a species to rapid environmental change and stochastic events.

Rapid warming of marine environments is threatening ecosystems, especially species at the edge of their range. This study analysed the genetic structure and diversity of Australian sea lion populations and found the northernmost population to be highly isolated with extremely low genetic variation. Our study highlights the vulnerability of isolated populations of a species to rapid environmental change and stochastic events.

## Linked entities

- **Species:** Neophoca cinerea (taxon 161930)

## Full-text entities

- **Species:** Neophoca cinerea (Australian sea lion, species) [taxon 161930]

## Figures

4 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12873503/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12873503