# Strengthening disaster preparedness and health security in Niger state, Nigeria through a WHO STAR–based multi-hazard risk assessment

**Authors:** Oladayo David Awoyale, Akolade Jimoh, Anne Dede, Catherine Nabiem Akpen, Abiodun Ogunniyi, Dennis Paul Dogo, Patrick B. Gimba, Idris Ibrahim, Rauf Rauf, Arab Mustafa, Grace Erekosima, Nimatullah Ibrahim, Sunday Atobatele, Sidney Sampson, Hilary I. Okagbue

PMC · DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-34702-z · Scientific Reports · 2026-01-16

## TL;DR

This study uses a WHO tool to assess disaster risks in Niger state, Nigeria, identifying key hazards like flooding and banditry to guide emergency preparedness.

## Contribution

This is one of the first applications of WHO STAR at the state level in Nigeria for multi-hazard risk assessment.

## Key findings

- Eighteen major hazards were identified, with seven classified as very high risk, including flooding and banditry/kidnapping.
- Six hazards showed clear seasonal patterns, and priority hazards were mapped geographically.
- Actionable recommendations were developed to strengthen emergency preparedness and disaster risk governance.

## Abstract

Niger State in central Nigeria faces a range of natural, biological, and security hazards. To inform preparedness and health security planning, a multi-hazard risk assessment was conducted using WHO’s Strategic Tool for Assessing Risks (STAR), this is one of the first applications of WHO STAR at a state level in Nigeria. A cross-sectional study was conducted using the WHO STAR. Stakeholders involved identified hazards across natural, biological, technological, and societal domains through review of surveillance, disaster, and meteorological data. Hazards were scored for likelihood, impact, vulnerability, and coping capacity, with composite risk indices used to rank and categorize them. Priority hazards were further analysed for seasonality and geographic distribution, and findings validated through consensus. Eighteen major hazards were identified, spanning biological, environmental, and societal. Seven hazards emerged as very high risk, notably flooding, banditry/kidnapping. Six were high risk (e.g. fire outbreaks), four moderate (e.g. acute flaccid paralysis), and one low risk (diphtheria). Six hazards showed clear seasonal patterns. Priority hazards were further examined for geographic distribution and validated through consensus. The STAR assessment produced an evidence-based risk profile highlighting flooding, banditry/kidnapping, boat mishaps, cholera, and rain/windstorms as the most critical hazards. Actionable recommendations were developed to support preparedness, mitigation, and response efforts across sectors. The findings offer a structured basis for strengthening disaster risk governance and can inform the development and implementation of Niger state’s emergency preparedness plans.

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1038/s41598-025-34702-z.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** cholera (MONDO:0015766), diphtheria (MONDO:0005504)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** IFNAR1 (interferon alpha and beta receptor subunit 1) [NCBI Gene 3454] {aka AVP, CRF2-1, IFN-R-1, IFN-alpha-REC, IFNAR, IFNBR}, WASH6P (WASP family homolog 6, pseudogene) [NCBI Gene 653440] {aka CXYorf1, FAM39A, WASH}, AFP (alpha fetoprotein) [NCBI Gene 174] {aka AFPD, FETA, HPAFP}
- **Diseases:** waterborne disease (MESH:D000069578), drought (MESH:C536747), Lassa fever (MESH:D007835), NCDC (MESH:D007174), trauma (MESH:D014947), Flooding (MESH:C565009), LGAs (MESH:D004828), zoonotic diseases (MESH:D015047), Disease (MESH:D004194), war (MESH:D000067398), Acute flaccid paralysis (MESH:C000629404), food insecurity (MESH:D005517), CSM (MESH:D008580), diphtheria (MESH:D004165), polio (MESH:D011051), Cholera (MESH:D002771), anthrax (MESH:D000881), boat accidents (MESH:D000081084), substance abuse (MESH:D019966), measles (MESH:D008457), acute watery diarrhea (MESH:D003969)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

8 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12868816/full.md

## References

10 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12868816/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12868816