# Analysis of Plasma Epstein–Barr Virus DNA and Clinical Outcomes to Pembrolizumab or Chemotherapy in Recurrent/Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Cancer in KEYNOTE‐122

**Authors:** Anthony T. C. Chan, Victor Ho Fun Lee, Ruey‐Long Hong, Myung‐Ju Ahn, Wan Qin Chong, Anna Spreafico, Sung‐Bae Kim, Gwo Fuang Ho, Priscilla B. Caguioa, Nuttapong Ngamphaiboon, Ramona F. Swaby, Bo Wei, Andrea L. Webber, John Kang, Burak Gumuscu, Jianda Yuan, Lillian L. Siu

PMC · DOI: 10.1002/cam4.71496 · Cancer Medicine · 2026-02-03

## TL;DR

This study shows that higher levels of Epstein-Barr virus DNA in the blood at the start are linked to worse outcomes for patients with advanced nasopharyngeal cancer treated with pembrolizumab or chemotherapy.

## Contribution

The study demonstrates that baseline plasma EBV DNA load is a prognostic biomarker for clinical outcomes in NPC patients.

## Key findings

- Higher baseline plasma EBV DNA load was negatively associated with progression-free survival and overall survival.
- Larger decreases in plasma EBV DNA load after two cycles of treatment were linked to better clinical outcomes.
- Baseline EBV DNA load was not associated with objective response rate in either treatment group.

## Abstract

Plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA has clinical utility for prognosis, recurrence, surveillance, and treatment response in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). This exploratory analysis evaluated associations between plasma EBV DNA load and clinical outcomes in participants treated with pembrolizumab or chemotherapy in the phase 3 KEYNOTE‐122 trial (NCT02611960).

Participants with platinum‐pretreated, histologically confirmed, EBV‐positive, recurrent/metastatic NPC were randomly assigned (1:1) to pembrolizumab 200 mg intravenously every 3 weeks (≤ 35 cycles) or standard of care (SOC; investigator's choice of capecitabine, gemcitabine, or docetaxel). Associations between baseline plasma EBV DNA load as a continuous variable and plasma EBV DNA fold change at cycle 2 day 1 (C2D1), with clinical outcomes (progression‐free survival [PFS], overall survival [OS], and objective response rate [ORR]) were evaluated within each treatment arm. Nominal significance was prespecified at 0.05 for 1‐sided p values.

Of 228 treated participants, 215 (94.3%) had evaluable baseline plasma EBV DNA load data (pembrolizumab, 111; SOC, 104). Baseline plasma EBV DNA load was negatively associated with PFS and OS for pembrolizumab and SOC (both p < 0.005) but not ORR (p = 0.105, pembrolizumab; p = 0.473, SOC). Larger decreases in plasma EBV DNA load at C2D1 relative to baseline were associated with improved PFS, OS, and ORR for pembrolizumab and SOC (p ≤ 0.005).

Higher baseline plasma EBV DNA load was negatively associated with outcomes in participants with NPC treated with pembrolizumab or SOC. These findings provide additional support for plasma EBV DNA as a prognostic biomarker for NPC.

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02611960

## Linked entities

- **Chemicals:** capecitabine (PubChem CID 60953), gemcitabine (PubChem CID 60750), docetaxel (PubChem CID 148124)
- **Diseases:** nasopharyngeal carcinoma (MONDO:0015459), nasopharyngeal cancer (MONDO:0015459)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** CD274 (CD274 molecule) [NCBI Gene 29126] {aka ADMIO5, B7-H, B7H1, PD-L1, PDCD1L1, PDCD1LG1}, PDCD1 (programmed cell death 1) [NCBI Gene 5133] {aka ADMIO4, AIMTBS, CD279, PD-1, PD1, SLEB2}
- **Diseases:** MSD (MESH:D052517), Cancer (MESH:D009369), ] type II (MESH:D006938), toxicity (MESH:D064420), type III (MESH:C536044), NPC (MESH:D000077274), Nasopharyngeal Cancer (MESH:D009303), Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection (MESH:D020031), death (MESH:D003643)
- **Chemicals:** KEYNOTE (-), capecitabine (MESH:D000069287), Pembrolizumab (MESH:C582435), camrelizumab (MESH:C000631724), platinum (MESH:D010984), toripalimab (MESH:C000656314), gemcitabine (MESH:D000093542), docetaxel (MESH:D000077143), cisplatin (MESH:D002945)
- **Species:** human gammaherpesvirus 4 (Epstein Barr virus, no rank) [taxon 10376], Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]
- **Cell lines:** -122 — Homo sapiens (Human), Huntington's disease, Induced pluripotent stem cell (CVCL_VD17)

## Full text

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## Figures

4 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12866814/full.md

## References

25 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12866814/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12866814