# Ultra-early computed tomography markers of haematoma expansion: Potential trial targets?

**Authors:** Chloe A Mutimer, Sameer Sharma, Henry Zhao, Atte Meretoja, Leonid Churilov, Teddy Y Wu, Timothy J Kleinig, Philip M Choi, Andrew Cheung, Jiann-Shing Jeng, Henry Ma, Duy Ton Mai, Huy-Thang Nguyen, Gagan Sharma, Bruce C V Campbell, Geoffrey A Donnan, Stephen M Davis, Nawaf Yassi

PMC · DOI: 10.1093/esj/23969873251355938 · European Stroke Journal · 2026-01-01

## TL;DR

This study examines early CT markers for predicting brain hemorrhage expansion and finds limited predictive power, but suggests tranexamic acid may help in some cases.

## Contribution

The study evaluates CT markers for haematoma expansion within 2 hours of onset and explores tranexamic acid's effect in this ultra-early period.

## Key findings

- The swirl sign was the most common CT marker, while the blend sign was rare.
- Most CT markers were linked to larger initial haematoma volume and expansion.
- Tranexamic acid showed potential benefit in reducing haematoma expansion in patients with the spot sign.

## Abstract

The predictive value of CT markers of intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) expansion is time-dependent, but data in the ultra-early period (<2 h from onset) are limited. We aimed to describe the frequency of these CT markers, their association with haematoma volume, haematoma expansion (HE) and functional outcome at 90-days. We also investigated the effect of tranexamic acid on HE in the presence of these markers.

We performed a pooled analysis of individual patient data from the STOP-AUST and STOP-MSU placebo-controlled randomised trials of tranexamic acid, including ICH patients scanned within 2 h of symptom onset. Logistic regression was used to assess the association between CT markers and HE or 90-days functional outcomes (poor outcome defined as mRS3-6).

Among 246 patients, the swirl sign (74.3%) was the most frequent CT marker and the blend sign least frequent (7.3%). All markers were associated with increased baseline haematoma volume, and excluding the black hole sign, all were more common in patients with 24-h HE. The blend and spot signs were associated with 24-h HE and heterogenous density, swirl sign, hypodensity and island sign were associated with poor 90-day function outcomes in univariate logistic regression. However, the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve was similar for all markers and indicated low discriminative ability (Chi-squared test p = 0.81). A potential benefit of tranexamic acid in HE reduction was observed in patients with the spot sign (interaction p = 0.01)

The discriminative utility of CT markers of HE in the early timeframe appears insufficient. There may be an effect of tranexamic acid in spot sign positive patients <2 h from onset.

Graphical abstract

## Linked entities

- **Chemicals:** tranexamic acid (PubChem CID 5526)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** ICH (MESH:D002543)
- **Chemicals:** tranexamic acid (MESH:D014148)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

33 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12866209/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12866209