# A system-level metastable model of cancer evolution: integrating replication stress, cell cycle deregulation and chromosomal instability

**Authors:** Dongjing Ma, Jinbin Wang, Yicong Chen, Ling Yao, Qianya Wei, Jianjun Wu

PMC · DOI: 10.1080/07853890.2026.2620184 · Annals of Medicine · 2026-01-28

## TL;DR

This review introduces a new framework for understanding how cancer evolves by linking replication stress, cell cycle issues, and chromosomal instability.

## Contribution

The paper proposes the RS–CCD–CIN axis as a systems-level model for cancer evolution.

## Key findings

- RS, CCD, and CIN form an interconnected network that drives tumor heterogeneity and adaptability.
- Targeting multiple components of the RS–CCD–CIN axis may improve cancer therapy outcomes.
- Single-cell profiling reveals variability in RS, CCD, and CIN states within tumors.

## Abstract

Cancer cell proliferation occurs within the context of persistent genomic instability. In this review, we propose the RS–CCD–CIN axis as a systems-level framework in which replication stress (RS), cell cycle deregulation (CCD) and chromosomal instability (CIN) form an interdependent triad that shapes tumour evolution. This axis represents a constrained metastable state in which genomic instability is tolerated and buffered. The objective of this review is to synthesize the current understanding of how the RS–CCD–CIN axis contributes to tumour heterogeneity, adaptability and therapy response.

Evidence indicates that RS, CCD and CIN operate as a dynamic, interconnected network rather than as independent processes. Replication stress induces DNA damage and mutagenesis, while partial checkpoint disruption permits cells with unresolved lesions to proliferate. Chromosomal instability generates both structural and numerical alterations, contributing to intratumoural heterogeneity. Together, these processes facilitate adaptation to environmental and therapeutic pressures. Extrachromosomal DNA, micronuclei formation and cytosolic DNA signalling, including the cGAS–STING pathway, connect genomic instability to adaptive responses and immune modulation. Single-cell and spatial profiling reveal temporal and spatial variability in RS, CCD and CIN states, highlighting the limitations of static biomarkers. Therapeutically, targeting individual components often yields limited durability, whereas approaches that simultaneously perturb multiple aspects of the RS–CCD–CIN axis may improve clinical outcomes.

This review highlights the RS–CCD–CIN axis as a fragile and metastable architecture that supports cancer evolution, while also being susceptible to collapse. A deeper understanding of this interconnected framework may inform the development of therapeutic strategies and enhance the management of resistance.

## Linked entities

- **Proteins:** CGAS (cyclic GMP-AMP synthase), STING1 (stimulator of interferon response cGAMP interactor 1)
- **Diseases:** cancer (MONDO:0004992)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** CDK2 (cyclin dependent kinase 2) [NCBI Gene 1017] {aka CDKN2, p33(CDK2)}, PDXP (pyridoxal phosphatase) [NCBI Gene 57026] {aka CIN, PLP, dJ37E16.5}, RNF168 (ring finger protein 168) [NCBI Gene 165918] {aka RIDL, hRNF168}, H2AX (H2A.X variant histone) [NCBI Gene 3014] {aka H2A.X, H2A/X, H2AFX}, TOP2A (DNA topoisomerase II alpha) [NCBI Gene 7153] {aka TOP2, TOP2alpha, TOPIIA, TP2A}, ALKBH5 (alkB homolog 5, RNA demethylase) [NCBI Gene 54890] {aka ABH5, OFOXD, OFOXD1}, APOBEC3B (apolipoprotein B mRNA editing enzyme catalytic subunit 3B) [NCBI Gene 9582] {aka A3B, APOBEC1L, ARCD3, ARP4, DJ742C19.2, PHRBNL}, PARP1 (poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase 1) [NCBI Gene 142] {aka ADPRT, ADPRT 1, ADPRT1, ARTD1, PARP, PARP-1}, ABL1 (ABL proto-oncogene 1, non-receptor tyrosine kinase) [NCBI Gene 25] {aka ABL, BCR-ABL, CHDSKM, JTK7, bcr/abl, c-ABL}, MYC (MYC proto-oncogene, bHLH transcription factor) [NCBI Gene 4609] {aka MRTL, MYCC, bHLHe39, c-Myc}, BUB1 (BUB1 mitotic checkpoint serine/threonine kinase) [NCBI Gene 699] {aka BUB1A, BUB1L, MCPH30, hBUB1}, YAP1 (Yes1 associated transcriptional regulator) [NCBI Gene 10413] {aka COB1, YAP, YAP-1, YAP2, YAP65, YKI}, CCNE1 (cyclin E1) [NCBI Gene 898] {aka CCNE, pCCNE1}, RNF43 (ring finger protein 43) [NCBI Gene 54894] {aka RNF124, SSPCS, URCC}, WEE1 (WEE1 G2 checkpoint kinase) [NCBI Gene 7465] {aka WEE1A, WEE1hu}, CTNNB1 (catenin beta 1) [NCBI Gene 1499] {aka CTNNB, EVR7, MRD19, NEDSDV, armadillo}, RPA2 (replication protein A2) [NCBI Gene 6118] {aka REPA2, RP-A p32, RP-A p34, RPA32}, RAD51 (RAD51 recombinase) [NCBI Gene 5888] {aka BRCC5, FANCR, HRAD51, HsRad51, HsT16930, MRMV2}, PIK3CA (phosphatidylinositol-4,5-bisphosphate 3-kinase catalytic subunit alpha) [NCBI Gene 5290] {aka CCM4, CLAPO, CLOVE, CWS5, HMH, MCAP}, FBXW7 (F-box and WD repeat domain containing 7) [NCBI Gene 55294] {aka AGO, CDC4, DEDHIL, FBW6, FBW7, FBX30}, BRCA1 (BRCA1 DNA repair associated) [NCBI Gene 672] {aka BRCAI, BRCC1, BROVCA1, FANCS, IRIS, PNCA4}, KDM5A (lysine demethylase 5A) [NCBI Gene 5927] {aka NEDEHC, RBBP-2, RBBP2, RBP2}, MUL1 (mitochondrial E3 ubiquitin protein ligase 1) [NCBI Gene 79594] {aka C1orf166, GIDE, MAPL, MULAN, RNF218}, IFNA1 (interferon alpha 1) [NCBI Gene 3439] {aka IFL, IFN, IFN-ALPHA, IFN-alphaD, IFNA13, IFNA@}, CENPA (centromere protein A) [NCBI Gene 1058] {aka CENP-A, CenH3}, ESPL1 (extra spindle pole bodies like 1, separase) [NCBI Gene 9700] {aka ESP1, SEPA}, ATR (ATR checkpoint kinase) [NCBI Gene 545] {aka FCTCS, FRP1, MEC1, SCKL, SCKL1}, RB1 (RB transcriptional corepressor 1) [NCBI Gene 5925] {aka OSRC, PPP1R130, RB, p105-Rb, p110-RB1, pRb}, FANCD2 (FA complementation group D2) [NCBI Gene 2177] {aka FA-D2, FA4, FACD, FAD, FAD2, FANCD}, TBK1 (TANK binding kinase 1) [NCBI Gene 29110] {aka AIARV, FTDALS4, IIAE8, NAK, T2K}, APC (APC regulator of Wnt signaling pathway) [NCBI Gene 324] {aka BTPS2, DESMD, DP2, DP2.5, DP3, GS}, SOX2 (SRY-box transcription factor 2) [NCBI Gene 6657] {aka ANOP3, MCOPS3}, RAC1 (Rac family small GTPase 1) [NCBI Gene 5879] {aka MIG5, MRD48, Rac-1, TC-25, p21-Rac1}, MCL1 (MCL1 apoptosis regulator, BCL2 family member) [NCBI Gene 4170] {aka BCL2L3, EAT, MCL1-ES, MCL1L, MCL1S, Mcl-1}, STING1 (stimulator of interferon response cGAMP interactor 1) [NCBI Gene 340061] {aka ERIS, MITA, MPYS, NET23, SAVI, STING}, CDK1 (cyclin dependent kinase 1) [NCBI Gene 983] {aka CDC2, CDC28A, P34CDC2}, DNMT3A (DNA methyltransferase 3 alpha) [NCBI Gene 1788] {aka DNMT3A2, HESJAS, M.HsaIIIA, TBRS}, ABCB1 (ATP binding cassette subfamily B member 1) [NCBI Gene 5243] {aka ABC20, CD243, CLCS, ENPAT, GP170, MDR1}, RRM2 (ribonucleotide reductase regulatory subunit M2) [NCBI Gene 6241] {aka C2orf48, R2, RR2, RR2M}, EGFR (epidermal growth factor receptor) [NCBI Gene 1956] {aka ERBB, ERBB1, ERRP, HER1, NISBD2, NNCIS}, AURKB (aurora kinase B) [NCBI Gene 9212] {aka AIK2, AIM-1, AIM1, ARK-2, ARK2, AurB}, KRAS (KRAS proto-oncogene, GTPase) [NCBI Gene 3845] {aka 'C-K-RAS, C-K-RAS, CFC2, K-RAS2A, K-RAS2B, K-RAS4A}, TP53 (tumor protein p53) [NCBI Gene 7157] {aka BCC7, BMFS5, LFS1, P53, TRP53}, RAD52 (RAD52 DNA repair protein) [NCBI Gene 5893], ERCC1 (ERCC excision repair 1, endonuclease non-catalytic subunit) [NCBI Gene 2067] {aka COFS4, RAD10, UV20}, CD8A (CD8 subunit alpha) [NCBI Gene 925] {aka CD8, CD8alpha, IMD116, Leu2, p32}, SLFN11 (schlafen family member 11) [NCBI Gene 91607] {aka SLFN8/9}, TIMELESS (timeless circadian regulator) [NCBI Gene 8914] {aka FASPS4, TIM, TIM1, hTIM}, PRKAB1 (protein kinase AMP-activated non-catalytic subunit beta 1) [NCBI Gene 5564] {aka AMPK, HAMPKb}, CGAS (cyclic GMP-AMP synthase) [NCBI Gene 115004] {aka C6orf150, D4, MB21D1, h-cGAS}, NFKB1 (nuclear factor kappa B subunit 1) [NCBI Gene 4790] {aka CVID12, EBP-1, KBF1, NF-kB, NF-kB1, NF-kappa-B1}, TLR9 (toll like receptor 9) [NCBI Gene 54106] {aka CD289}, TAFAZZIN (tafazzin, phospholipid-lysophospholipid transacylase) [NCBI Gene 6901] {aka BTHS, CMD3A, EFE, EFE2, G4.5, LVNCX}, AURKA (aurora kinase A) [NCBI Gene 6790] {aka AIK, ARK1, AURA, BTAK, PPP1R47, STK15}, CHEK1 (checkpoint kinase 1) [NCBI Gene 1111] {aka CHK1, OZEMA21}, MUS81 (MUS81 structure-specific endonuclease subunit) [NCBI Gene 80198] {aka SLX3}, PLK1 (polo like kinase 1) [NCBI Gene 5347] {aka PLK, STPK13}, TP53BP1 (tumor protein p53 binding protein 1) [NCBI Gene 7158] {aka 53BP1, TDRD30, p202, p53BP1}, ATM (ATM serine/threonine kinase) [NCBI Gene 472] {aka AT1, ATA, ATC, ATD, ATDC, ATE}
- **Diseases:** Trisomy 8 (MESH:C537942), cytotoxicity (MESH:D064420), CCD (MESH:D000091622), ovarian cancer (MESH:D010051), Cancer (MESH:D009369), lung cancer (MESH:D008175), hypoxic (MESH:D002534), lung squamous cell carcinoma (MESH:D002294), trisomy 21 (MESH:D004314), pancreatic cancer (MESH:D010190), RS (MESH:D000079225), inflammation (MESH:D007249), karyotypic abnormalities (MESH:D059786), deficient (MESH:D007153), WGD (MESH:C531766), breast cancer (MESH:D001943), CIN (MESH:D043171), hypoxia (MESH:D000860), aneuploidy (MESH:D000782)
- **Chemicals:** berzosertib (MESH:C000598331), glutamine (MESH:D005973), Alisertib (MESH:C550258), PF-07104091 (-), taxane (MESH:C080625), adavosertib (MESH:C549567), olaparib (MESH:C531550), NAD+ (MESH:D009243), osimertinib (MESH:C000596361), cisplatin (MESH:D002945)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]
- **Mutations:** T790M, G34W, R248W

## Full text

_Full body text omitted from this summary view._ Fetch the complete paper as Markdown: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12857667/full.md

## Figures

5 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12857667/full.md

## References

129 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12857667/full.md

---
Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12857667