# Expectation as a Risk for Covid‐19‐Related Olfactory Changes: Observations From the California Farmworkers Health Survey

**Authors:** Derry Ridgway, Nimrat K. Sandhu, Ana M. Mora, Katherine Kogut, Paul Brown, Brenda Eskenazi

PMC · DOI: 10.1111/risa.70177 · Risk Analysis · 2026-01-30

## TL;DR

The study finds that a significant portion of farmworkers who reported changes in smell and taste after a Covid-19 diagnosis might have done so only because they knew they were infected.

## Contribution

The paper introduces a novel causal inference approach to assess how awareness of infection influences self-reported olfactory changes.

## Key findings

- Approximately 56.5% of patients reporting olfactory changes after a Covid-19 diagnosis would not have reported them without knowing their infection status.
- Similar patterns were observed for taste changes related to Covid-19.
- The findings highlight the role of patient expectations in symptom reporting during epidemics.

## Abstract

Some outcomes in medical and public health research, as well as clinical practice, must rely on patient reports and may be influenced by the prior knowledge of the patient. During the early months of the SARS‐CoV‐2 epidemic, changes in the sense of smell and taste were widely reported as a distinctive aspect of the new respiratory contagion. Using a Rubin Model of causal inference and data from a California Department of Public Health–sponsored survey of California farmworker health, we estimate that approximately half (56.5%) of infected patients reporting olfactory changes after a diagnosis of Covid‐19 would not have reported olfactory changes if not made aware of their Covid‐19 infection. The observations support a similar conclusion with respect to Covid‐19‐related changes in the sense of taste.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** Covid-19 (MONDO:0100096)

## Full text

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## References

15 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12857605/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12857605