# Guidelines on reporting and assessing dynamic mathematical models of infectious diseases: a scoping review

**Authors:** Madhav Chaturvedi, Antonia Bartz, Claudia M. Denkinger, Carolina Klett-Tammen, Mirjam Kretzschmar, Alexander Kuhlmann, Berit Lange, Florian M. Marx, Rafael Mikolajczyk, Ina Monsef, Hoa Thi Nguyen, Janik Suer, Nicole Skoetz, Veronika K. Jaeger, André Karch

PMC · DOI: 10.1186/s12879-025-12211-8 · BMC Infectious Diseases · 2025-12-31

## TL;DR

This paper reviews existing guidelines for reporting and assessing infectious disease models to identify common themes for better standardization.

## Contribution

The study systematically identifies and categorizes subdimensions from existing guidelines to inform future standardized reporting in infectious disease modeling.

## Key findings

- Most articles covered dimensions like model structure and parameter uncertainty but lacked consistency in addressing software implementation.
- Themes from existing guidelines show thematic similarities relevant to infectious disease modeling.
- The study provides a foundation for developing standardized reporting guidelines in this field.

## Abstract

Mathematical models are valuable tools for guiding public health policy decisions to combat the spread of infectious diseases. Nevertheless, a lack of appropriate quality assessment tools and reporting guidelines hinders the comprehensibility, transparency, and credibility of infectious disease modelling studies and the ability to assess their quality. In a first step towards addressing the need for reporting guidelines and quality assessment tools specific to infectious disease modelling, this scoping review identified common themes in existing reporting and quality assessment guidance for infectious disease modelling studies and adjacent fields.

We conducted temporally-unrestricted searches on Medline (via Ovid), Web of Science, medRxiv, and bioRxiv in January 2024 to find articles that provide guidance on writing or assessing modelling studies within infectious disease modelling and adjacent fields including but not limited to healthcare and, more specifically, health economics. Articles were double-screened for eligibility via title-and-abstract screening and full-text screening. Recommendations made by eligible articles were classified into 31 subdimensions which were categorised into seven overarching dimensions (1. applicability; 2. model structure; 3. parameterisation and calibration; 4. validity; 5. uncertainty; 6. interpretation; 7. reproducibility, clarity, and transparency). We followed the PRISMA extension for reporting scoping reviews.

Our final review included 53 articles. All dimensions except for interpretation were covered by most articles (81%-98%). However, we found substantial heterogeneity in the frequency with which subdimensions were addressed (11%-96%). Subdimensions pertaining to parameter uncertainty and transparency about parameter values were mentioned in most articles (91%-96%); conversely, discussions about auxiliary publication details and software implementation were covered less frequently (11%-23%).

This review shows that many recommendations made by reporting guidelines and quality assessment tools have thematic similarities and address common topics that are also relevant to infectious disease modelling. These identified themes and recommendations can be used as a starting point to inform the development of standardised guidelines for infectious disease modelling.

10.17605/OSF.IO/AB6D3.

Not applicable.

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-025-12211-8.

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** infectious diseases (MESH:D003141)

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

62 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12849597/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12849597