# Contemporary Assessment of Post-Operative Pancreatic Fistula After Pancreatoduodenectomy in a European Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Center: A 5-Year Experience

## TL;DR

This study examines risk factors for post-operative pancreatic fistula after a complex surgery, finding that elevated CRP levels and soft pancreatic texture are significant predictors.

## Contribution

The study identifies CRP on postoperative day 5 as a novel independent predictor of pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy.

## Key findings

- CRP on postoperative day 5 was an independent predictor of POPF (OR 1.007, p = 0.025).
- Diabetes mellitus was associated with a lower incidence of POPF (OR 0.254, p = 0.015).
- Soft pancreatic texture and elevated amylase on POD 0 were linked to POPF in univariate analysis.

## Abstract

Background and Objectives: Pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) is the primary treatment for patients with resectable, non-metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma and periampullary tumors. Although surgical methods and perioperative management have improved, the procedure still carries a high risk of complications, with postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) being the most significant. This study focuses on identifying current risk factors for POPF after PD in a single HPB center. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed prospectively collected data from patients undergoing PD in our department between October 2018 and April 2024. Data included demographics, comorbidities, lifestyle factors, preoperative tests (bilirubin, CA19-9, HbA1c), intraoperative variables (pancreatic texture, duct diameter), and postoperative outcomes. POPF was classified using the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) criteria. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. Results: A total of 118 patients underwent PD (82 males, 36 females; mean age 67 (45–85) years; mean body mass index (BMI) 26.6 kg/m2). POPF occurred in 37 patients (31%), with 27 Grade B (23%) and 10 Grade C (9%). The 30- and 90-day mortality rates were 5% and 12.7%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed associations between POPF and soft pancreas (p = 0.018), c-reactive protein (CRP) on postoperative day (POD) 5 (p = 0.004), and serum amylase on POD 0 (p = 0.008). Diabetes mellitus was associated with a lower incidence of POPF (p = 0.014). Multivariate analysis confirmed CRP on POD 5 (OR 1.007, p = 0.025) and DM (OR 0.254, p = 0.015), as independent factors. ROC analysis identified POD 0 amylase >113.5 U/L (AUC 0.717) and POD 5 CRP >125.3 mg/dL (AUC 0.669) as predictive values. Conclusions: POPF remains an important complication after PD. CRP > 126 mg/dL on POD 5 was associated with POPF and may serve as an adjunctive signal to guide further assessment, including imaging. The observed inverse association with diabetes mellitus is hypothesis-generating and should be interpreted cautiously, considering potential confounding and the influence of center volume, surgeon heterogeneity, and institutional protocols.