# Behavioral profile predicts ethanol preference in adolescent mice, but not in adults: A machine learning approach

**Authors:** Liana C. L. Portugal, Bruno da Silva Gonçalves, Emily de Assis Fagundes, Maria Fernandes Freire de Sá, Cláudio Carneiro Filgueiras, Ana Carolina Dutra‐Tavares, Alex C. Manhães, Yael Abreu‐Villaça, Anderson Ribeiro‐Carvalho

PMC · DOI: 10.1111/acer.70203 · Alcohol, Clinical & Experimental Research · 2026-01-23

## TL;DR

This study finds that adolescent mice's behavior, like sociability and reward sensitivity, predicts their alcohol preference, but not in adults.

## Contribution

The novel use of machine learning to identify behavioral predictors of ethanol preference in adolescent mice.

## Key findings

- Adolescent mice's ethanol preference is predicted by sucrose preference and sociability.
- Sociability has a negative predictive value for alcohol intake in adolescents.
- No behavioral predictors of ethanol preference were found in adult mice.

## Abstract

Clinical studies suggest that adolescents display a complex behavioral profile characterized by traits that increase their susceptibility to alcohol experimentation and impaired control over use. In the present study, we applied a machine learning model to predict the impact of diverse behavioral phenotypes on ethanol preference during adolescence and adulthood in mice.

C57BL/6 and Swiss mice were assigned to one of two age groups: adolescents (starting at PN40) or adults (starting at PN120). Over the next 3 days, novelty‐seeking, anxiety‐like behavior, sociability, coping behavior, and natural reward response were evaluated using the following behavioral tests: hole‐board, elevated plus maze, three‐chamber sociability, forced swimming, and sucrose preference, respectively. During the subsequent 5 days, alcohol preference behavior was assessed using the two‐bottle choice paradigm (10% ethanol). We trained machine learning regression models to predict alcohol preference in each age group.

The analysis model significantly predicted ethanol preference based on behavioral phenotypic profiles in mice during adolescence, but not in adulthood. Notably, the behavioral traits that contributed most to the prediction were sucrose preference and sociability time. Sucrose preference had a positive predictive value. Distinctively, sociability time had a negative predictive value, indicating an inverse relationship with ethanol preference.

These findings suggest that behavioral phenotypes during adolescence, particularly natural reward sensitivity and sociability, are key predictors of ethanol preference. The negative association between sociability and alcohol intake highlights the potential protective role of social interaction. The absence of predictive value in adulthood underscores adolescence as a critical developmental window during which behavioral traits may influence vulnerability to alcohol use.

The present study reveals that adolescent behavioral phenotypes strongly predict ethanol preference in mice, while no predictive patterns emerged in adulthood. Machine learning analysis identified sucrose preference as a positive predictor and sociability as a negative predictor of alcohol intake, highlighting natural reward sensitivity and social interaction as pivotal factors. These results underscore adolescence as a critical developmental stage where behavioral traits shape vulnerability to alcohol use.

## Linked entities

- **Chemicals:** ethanol (PubChem CID 702)
- **Species:** Mus musculus (taxon 10090)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** OXT (oxytocin/neurophysin I prepropeptide) [NCBI Gene 5020] {aka OT, OT-NPI, OXT-NPI}, Hcrt (hypocretin) [NCBI Gene 15171] {aka PPOX}
- **Diseases:** mental disorder (MESH:D001523), alcohol use disorder (MESH:D000437), OA (MESH:D010003), neurotoxic (MESH:D020258), drug abuse (MESH:D019966), Fluid loss (MESH:D002559), anxiety disorders (MESH:D001008), impaired control (MESH:D007174), Anxiety (MESH:D001007)
- **Chemicals:** cocaine (MESH:D003042), nicotine (MESH:D009538), dopamine (MESH:D004298), amphetamine (MESH:D000661), Sucrose (MESH:D013395), Ethanol (MESH:D000431), amphetamines (MESH:D000662), water (MESH:D014867), noradrenaline (MESH:D009638), Alcohol (MESH:D000438), saccharin (MESH:D012439), serotonin (MESH:D012701)
- **Species:** Mus musculus (house mouse, species) [taxon 10090], Rattus norvegicus (brown rat, species) [taxon 10116], Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]
- **Cell lines:** /6 — Homo sapiens (Human), Tongue squamous cell carcinoma, Cancer cell line (CVCL_5985), /6J — Homo sapiens (Human), Cutaneous melanoma, Cancer cell line (CVCL_W797), C57BL/6 — Mus musculus (Mouse), Transformed cell line (CVCL_C0MU)

## Full text

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## Figures

3 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12829523/full.md

## References

65 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12829523/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12829523