# Liver fibrosis assessed via noninvasive liver fibrosis scores is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in middle-aged and older patients with prediabetes

**Authors:** Ying Huang, Yuan Yuan, Huixian Wu, Zhiyuan Zhou, Lianhong Li, Xiaolong Huang, Letong Xin, Jingru Li, Junhan Zhang, Caiping Liu, Qun Zhu

PMC · DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2025.1712481 · Frontiers in Endocrinology · 2026-01-09

## TL;DR

Noninvasive liver fibrosis scores are linked to a higher risk of heart disease in middle-aged and older people with prediabetes.

## Contribution

This study shows that liver fibrosis scores can reliably predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in prediabetic patients.

## Key findings

- FIB-4, NFS, and APRI scores were independently associated with increased odds of ASCVD in prediabetic patients.
- NFS had the strongest association with ASCVD, with a 2.6-fold increased risk in high-risk groups.
- FIB-4 and NFS scores showed good discrimination for ASCVD detection with area under the curve values over 0.7.

## Abstract

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related liver fibrosis is linked to an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD); however, its impact on patients with prediabetes remains unclear. The aim of our study was to investigate the associations between ASCVD and three noninvasive liver fibrosis scores, including the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), in middle-aged and older patients with prediabetes.

In this cross-sectional study, a total of 7,409 patients with prediabetes aged 40 to 80 years were classified into two groups based on their ASCVD statuses. Logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the relationships between liver fibrosis scores and ASCVD. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) curves were employed to explore potential nonlinear relationships. The performances of the liver fibrosis scores were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

Noninvasive liver fibrosis scores, including FIB-4, NFS, and APRI values, were independently associated with an increased likelihood of having ASCVD in middle-aged and older patients with prediabetes. After adjusting for confounding factors, the patients in the high-risk FIB-4, NFS, and APRI groups had 1.5, 2.6, and 1.5 times the odds of ASCVD, respectively, compared with those in the low-risk groups, with odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals of 1.497 (1.089–2.055) for FIB-4 (P = 0.013), 2.632 (1.949–3.560) for NFS (P < 0.001), and 1.483 (1.092–2.002) for APRI (P = 0.011). RCS analysis revealed a nonlinear positive correlation between FIB-4 and ASCVD, whereas the relationships between NFS and ASCVD and between APRI and ASCVD were approximately linear. In the ROC curve analysis, both FIB-4 and NFS exhibited area under the curve values exceeding 0.7 in detecting individuals with ASCVD, whereas APRI was a relatively poor discriminator of ASCVD.

Liver fibrosis assessed via noninvasive indices was significantly positively associated with an increased risk of ASCVD in middle-aged and older patients with prediabetes, thereby underscoring the value of liver fibrosis scores as reliable indicators for identifying the presence of ASCVD in individuals with prediabetes.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** prediabetes (MONDO:0006920), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (MONDO:1060134)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** Metabolic dysfunction (MESH:D008659), prediabetes (MESH:D011236), steatotic liver disease (MESH:D008107), ASCVD (MESH:D050197), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (MESH:D065626), Liver fibrosis (MESH:D008103), fibrosis (MESH:D005355)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

4 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12827147/full.md

## References

30 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12827147/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12827147