Predicting grain growth kinetic in steels using machine learning and XAI for mechanical properties
Selim Demirci, Durmuş Özkan Şahin, Sercan Demirci, Mehmet Masum Tünçay, Moataz M. Attallah

TL;DR
This paper uses machine learning and explainable AI to predict grain growth in steels, improving mechanical properties prediction during processing.
Contribution
A novel ML framework integrating XAI for predicting grain growth kinetics in steels with high accuracy and experimental validation.
Findings
XGBoost model achieved an R2 value of 0.9728 in predicting grain growth.
Temperature, initial grain size, and holding time were identified as dominant factors.
Predicted grain sizes matched experimental results and showed Hall–Petch behavior in hardness.
Abstract
Understanding and controlling grain growth kinetics in steels is crucial for optimizing mechanical properties during thermomechanical processing. However, traditional empirical models often fail to account for the complex, nonlinear interactions between alloying elements and processing parameters. In this study, we introduce a novel machine learning (ML) based framework that predicts austenitic grain growth behaviour directly from chemical composition and process conditions, utilizing a comprehensive dataset of 1039 experimentally validated samples. Among various algorithms tested, the XGBoost model demonstrated exceptional predictive capability, achieving an R2 value of 0.9728 after hyperparameter optimization. Feature selection methods (Pearson correlation, CfsSubset, ReliefF) and SHAP-based explainable AI analyses were employed to identify the most influential parameters, revealing…
Genes, proteins, chemicals, diseases, species, mutations and cell lines named across the full text — each resolved to its canonical identifier and authoritative record.
Click any figure to enlarge with its caption.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
Figure 4
Figure 5
Figure 6
Figure 7
Figure 8
Figure 9
Figure 10
Figure 11
Figure 12
Figure 13
Figure 14
Figure 15
Figure 16
Figure 17
Figure 18
Figure 19
Figure 20
Figure 21
Figure 22
Figure 23
Figure 24
Figure 25
Figure 26
Figure 27
Figure 28
Figure 29
Figure 30
Figure 31
Figure 32
Figure 33
Figure 34
Figure 35
Figure 36Peer Reviews
No public reviews on file for this paper yet. If you reviewed it on a platform where reviews are public (OpenReview, ICLR, NeurIPS, ICML), you can paste yours below so the community can read it here.
Videos
No videos yet. Explain this paper in a talk, walkthrough, or lecture? Add one.
Taxonomy
TopicsMachine Learning in Materials Science · Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Steels · High Temperature Alloys and Creep
