# Global Changes in Lepidopteran Phylogenetic Diversity Across Space and Time

**Authors:** Jillian Muirberry, Lesley T. Lancaster

PMC · DOI: 10.1002/ece3.72557 · Ecology and Evolution · 2026-01-12

## TL;DR

This study finds that butterfly and moth diversity has increased in cooler regions but decreased in tropical areas, likely due to habitat loss and climate change.

## Contribution

The study uses DNA barcoding data to reveal global spatiotemporal patterns in Lepidopteran phylogenetic diversity.

## Key findings

- Global phylogenetic diversity of Lepidopterans has increased at high latitudes but decreased in tropical regions.
- The observed patterns are consistent across continents and reflect habitat loss and range shifts.
- DNA barcoding enables detection of biodiversity trends at a global scale.

## Abstract

Amidst increasing reports of insect declines, it is ever more important to understand spatial and temporal insect diversity patterns and processes. Phylogenetic diversity (PD) is an important biodiversity metric in that it relates strongly to ecosystem processes, and it can be estimated more accurately from opportunistic occurrence data than other elements of biodiversity. Here, we assess recent changes across global variation in Lepidopteran PD, to discover overall patterns, their repeatability across regions and environmental drivers. We assess global, spatiotemporal variation in PD, as compared to null expectations given sampling effort, determining how such variation relates to region, space, time and environment. Our analysis is based on 374,749 gene sequence accessions from the barcode of life database (BOLD), representing 3158 species assemblages, spanning 62 years. We find that global variation in PD of Lepidopteran species assemblages has significantly increased over time at high latitudes while remaining relatively unchanged near the equator. This pattern exhibits parallelism across global regions, with the strongest increases in PD towards the present observed in high‐latitude communities in North America and Asia, in lowland sites in Europe, and across the African continent. In contrast, PD has declined through time in wetter portions of Australasia and in Africa and South America. Our reported patterns likely reflect changes in Lepidopteran responses to tropical habitat loss and widespread range expansions to higher latitudes. However, changing clines in DNA barcoding strategies could also play a role. Detecting spatiotemporal patterns of change in PD at the global scale is enabled by the increasing use of genetic markers in taxonomy. Our replicated findings provide confidence in biogeographic interpretation, yet increased metadata on sub‐sampling decisions would aid future interpretation of biodiversity trends using ecological genomics synthesis.

Amidst increasing reports of insect declines, it is ever more important to understand spatial and temporal insect diversity patterns and processes. In this study, we repurposed the wealth of sequence data initially used for species identification, to detect global changes in the phylogenetic diversity (PD) of Lepidopteran communities over recent decades. We found evidence of increasing PD in cool temperate regions but declining PD in wet, tropical areas; patterns which likely reflect both tropical habitat loss and widespread range expansions to higher latitudes. Detecting spatiotemporal patterns of change in community PD at the global scale is enabled by the increasing use of genetic markers in taxonomy, and resulting data can inform patterns of ongoing biodiversity shifts.

## Linked entities

- **Species:** Lepidoptera (taxon 7088)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** COX1 (cytochrome c oxidase subunit I) [NCBI Gene 4512] {aka COI, MTCO1}
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

100 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12795615/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12795615