Risk Factors and Predictive Parameters of Necrotizing Enterocolitis in Preterm Infants—A Single-Center Retrospective Study

TL;DR

This study identifies risk factors and signs that predict the need for surgery in preterm infants with necrotizing enterocolitis and highlights the importance of early intervention.

Contribution

The study provides new insights into predictive parameters for surgical NEC in preterm infants based on a single-center retrospective analysis.

Findings

Low gestational age and birth weight correlated with higher Bell stages of NEC severity.

Abdominal distension, bilious gastric residue, and hyponatremia were common in infants requiring surgery.

Surgical mortality was lower than overall mortality, suggesting potential benefits of timely intervention.

Abstract

Background and Objectives: Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) represents a severe gastrointestinal emergency in preterm infants. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors and predictive parameters for NEC requiring surgery and to evaluate associated short-term outcomes. Materials and Methods: We conducted a retrospective study in preterm neonates diagnosed with NEC admitted to a tertiary neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) between January 2015 and May 2025. Demographic data, perinatal events, risk factors, clinical signs, imaging findings, and outcomes were analyzed, with a particular focus on surgically managed cases. Descriptive and inferential statistical methods were applied. Results: Forty-four infants met the inclusion criterion. The mean gestational age (GA) was 29.34 ± 4.3 weeks, and the mean birth weight was 1100 ± 563 g. According to Bell’s severity index, 45.5% had Bell Stage I, 36.4% Stage II, and 18.2% Stage III. Eleven patients (25%) required surgery. All surgical patients had abdominal distension, and 63.6% had bilious gastric residue. Abdominal X-ray showed pneumoperitoneum in 72.7% and pneumatosis intestinalis in 27.3% of cases. Laboratory abnormalities, including thrombocytopenia, elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and hyponatremia (45.5%; 133 ± 6.95 mmol/L), were frequently associated with surgical NEC. A lower GA and birth weight correlated with a higher Bell stage (p = 0.0085 and p = 0.0291). Overall mortality was 29.5% (13/44); surgical mortality was 9.1% (1/11). Conclusions: In this single-center lot, low gestational age and birth weight, abdominal distension with bilious residuals, systemic inflammation, and hyponatremia were frequent among infants who required surgery. Selected infants may benefit from early surgery even without perforation, but inferences are limited by this study’s sample size and retrospective design. Prospective multi-center studies are needed to validate predictors and refine surgical timing.

Figures