# A step towards microlitter risk assessment: modelling microlitter storage potential of the UK seabed

**Authors:** Adil Bakir, Adam Porter, Ceri Lewis, Jon Barry, Robert Brookes, William Procter, Briony Silburn, Alexandra Rachael McGoran, Clement Garcia, Claire Mason, Stefan Bolam, David Stephen Clare, Keith Cooper, Anna Downie, Jim Ellis, Daniel Wood, Claire Phillips, Tamara S. Galloway

PMC · DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2024.0428 · 2025-10-23

## TL;DR

This study models where microlitter accumulates on the UK seabed to help prioritize monitoring and risk assessment efforts.

## Contribution

A novel model predicting microlitter storage potential in UK seabed sediments is developed and linked to environmental risk factors.

## Key findings

- A microlitter distribution model was created using seabed physical properties.
- Accumulation zones were mapped alongside sources and sensitive areas like MPAs.
- The model helps identify high-risk areas for targeted monitoring and risk management.

## Abstract

Seafloor sediments have been defined as sinks for microplastics in the marine environment and could therefore represent suitable matrices for their long-term monitoring. Previous studies indicated the widespread distribution of microlitter in seafloor sediments for the UK. In the present study, observations from 2017 to 2021 were used to produce a microlitter distribution model (unitless), derived from physical properties of the seabed that are known to drive the storage capacity of microlitter. The predicted distribution model was converted into a geospatial data layer and plotted against additional open access data layers for likely sources of marine litter (e.g. marine structures) as well as data layers for more sensitive features around the UK (e.g. marine protected areas (MPAs)). Visualization of the accumulation zones for microlitter against the different layers allowed the identification of areas potentially at risk from an increased addition of microlitter from various sources (e.g. dredge disposal sites). Identification of potential risks and prioritization for different zones of action would help the development of national and regional monitoring strategies while reducing costs of multi-compartment, larger scale monitoring programmes. Additional observations and targeted monitoring data are needed to link potential sources of accumulations for microplastics with a higher level of certainty.

This article is part of the Theo Murphy meeting issue ‘Sedimentology of plastics: state of the art and future directions’.

## Full-text entities

- **Chemicals:** microlitter (-)

## Figures

12 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12547438/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12547438