# Enhancing carbon emission reduction strategies using OCO and ICOS data

**Authors:** Oskar Åström, Carina Geldhauser, Markus Grillitsch, Ola Hall, Alexandros Sopasakis

PMC · DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-22022-1 · Scientific Reports · 2025-10-17

## TL;DR

This paper introduces a new method to track CO2 levels by combining satellite and ground data, improving local carbon monitoring for better emission reduction strategies.

## Contribution

The novelty lies in using machine learning and multimodal data fusion to enhance CO2 estimation at high resolution.

## Key findings

- The model achieved a Root Mean Squared Error of 3.58 ppm in CO2 predictions.
- Integration of diverse data sources improves capturing local emission patterns.
- The approach enables precise insights for targeted carbon mitigation strategies.

## Abstract

We propose a methodology to enhance local CO2 monitoring by integrating satellite data from the Orbiting Carbon Observatories (OCO-2 and OCO-3) with ground-level observations from the Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS) and weather data from the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5). Unlike traditional methods that downsample national data, our approach uses multimodal data fusion for high-resolution CO2 estimations. We employ weighted K-nearest neighbor (KNN) interpolation with machine learning models to predict ground-level CO2 from satellite measurements, achieving a Root Mean Squared Error of 3.58 ppm. Our results show the effectiveness of integrating diverse data sources in capturing local emission patterns, highlighting the value of high-resolution atmospheric transport models. The developed model improves the granularity of CO2 monitoring, providing precise insights for targeted carbon mitigation strategies, and represents a novel application of neural networks and KNN in environmental monitoring, adaptable to various regions and temporal scales.

## Full-text entities

- **Chemicals:** CO2 (MESH:D002245), Carbon (MESH:D002244)

## Full text

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## Figures

8 figures with captions in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12534651/full.md

## References

6 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12534651/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12534651