# Research on the diagnosis model of osteoarthritis based on methylation-related genes using machine learning algorithms

**Authors:** Xu Cui, Houlin Ji, Shengyang Guo, Ju Liu, Linyuan Zhang, Yongwei Jia, Yin Cui, Xiaoxiao Zhou

PMC · DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2025.1595676 · Frontiers in Genetics · 2025-08-01

## TL;DR

This study builds a machine learning model using methylation-related genes to diagnose osteoarthritis and evaluates its effectiveness.

## Contribution

A novel diagnostic model for osteoarthritis using methylation-related genes and machine learning is developed and validated.

## Key findings

- 11 differentially methylated genes were identified as key features for the diagnostic model.
- The model achieved high accuracy with AUC scores of 0.96 and 0.93 in two datasets.
- Gene enrichment analysis revealed biological functions and pathways relevant to osteoarthritis.

## Abstract

To construct a diagnostic model of osteoarthritis related to methylation genes using machine learning algorithms, and analyze its prognostic value and biological functions.

The GSE 63695 and GSE162484 datasets including human osteoarthritis (OA) and normal samples were downloaded from the GEO datasets. The microarray chip data of chondrocytes were analyzed using R software to obtain differentially methylated genes. Genes were selected through SVM-RFE analysis and LASSO regression model, and a diagnostic model for OA was established. The performance of the model was assessed by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The gene set enrichment analysis of Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) was carried out on the genes incorporated within the model.

An overall 11 DEGs were identified:7 genes were remarkably upregulated and 4 genes were distinctly downregulated. By means of machine learning algorithms, ARHGEF10, ATP11A, NOTCH1, THSD4, NIPA1, SIM2, MAN1C1, ENDOG, CCNC, TAF5, and VPS52 were ultimately incorporated into the model, which could effectively diagnose OA. The area under the curve (AUC) in the datasets GSE 63695 and GSE162484 was 0.96 and 0.93 respectively.

The diagnostic model of methylation-related genes constructed based on machine learning algorithms can effectively identify OA.

## Linked entities

- **Genes:** ARHGEF10 (Rho guanine nucleotide exchange factor 10) [NCBI Gene 9639], ATP11A (ATPase phospholipid transporting 11A) [NCBI Gene 23250], NOTCH1 (notch receptor 1) [NCBI Gene 4851], THSD4 (thrombospondin type 1 domain containing 4) [NCBI Gene 79875], NIPA1 (NIPA magnesium transporter 1) [NCBI Gene 123606], SIM2 (SIM bHLH transcription factor 2) [NCBI Gene 6493], MAN1C1 (mannosidase alpha class 1C member 1) [NCBI Gene 57134], ENDOG (endonuclease G) [NCBI Gene 2021], CCNC (cyclin C) [NCBI Gene 892], TAF5 (TATA-box binding protein associated factor 5) [NCBI Gene 6877], VPS52 (VPS52 subunit of GARP complex) [NCBI Gene 6293]
- **Diseases:** osteoarthritis (MONDO:0005178)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (taxon 9606)

## Full-text entities

- **Genes:** TAF5 (TATA-box binding protein associated factor 5) [NCBI Gene 6877] {aka TAF(II)100, TAF2D, TAFII-100, TAFII100}, VPS52 (VPS52 subunit of GARP complex) [NCBI Gene 6293] {aka ARE1, SAC2, SACM2L, dJ1033B10.5}, ATP11A (ATPase phospholipid transporting 11A) [NCBI Gene 23250] {aka ATPIH, ATPIS, AUNA2, DFNA84, HLD24}, NOTCH1 (notch receptor 1) [NCBI Gene 4851] {aka AOS5, AOVD1, TAN1, hN1}, SIM2 (SIM bHLH transcription factor 2) [NCBI Gene 6493] {aka HMC13F06, HMC29C01, SIM, bHLHe15}, NIPA1 (NIPA magnesium transporter 1) [NCBI Gene 123606] {aka FSP3, SLC57A1, SPG6}, MAN1C1 (mannosidase alpha class 1C member 1) [NCBI Gene 57134] {aka HMIC, MAN1A3, MAN1C, pp6318}, THSD4 (thrombospondin type 1 domain containing 4) [NCBI Gene 79875] {aka AAT12, ADAMTSL-6, ADAMTSL6, FVSY9334, PRO34005}, ARHGEF10 (Rho guanine nucleotide exchange factor 10) [NCBI Gene 9639] {aka GEF10, SNCV}, ENDOG (endonuclease G) [NCBI Gene 2021], CCNC (cyclin C) [NCBI Gene 892] {aka CycC, SRB11, hSRB11}
- **Diseases:** OA (MESH:D010003)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

32 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12353723/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12353723