Initiation of Antiseizure Medications in Patients With Brain Abscess
Victoria M. Nielsen, Michael Klompas, Justin Manjourides, Louisa H. Smith

TL;DR
This study found that starting antiseizure medications in brain abscess patients did not significantly reduce their risk of developing epilepsy.
Contribution
The study provides new evidence on the effectiveness of antiseizure medications in preventing epilepsy in brain abscess survivors.
Findings
Initiation of antiseizure medications was not associated with reduced epilepsy risk in brain abscess survivors.
No statistically significant differences in epilepsy occurrence were observed at 90, 135, and 180 days of follow-up.
Sensitivity analyses confirmed the primary findings, suggesting robustness of the results.
Abstract
This cohort study assesses whether antiseizure medications are associated with epilepsy risk among patients with brain abcess. Are antiseizure medications (ASMs) associated with a reduced risk of epilepsy in brain abscess survivors at 90, 135, and 180 days of follow-up? In this cohort study of 572 patients with a brain abscess, there were no statistically significant differences in the probabilities of epilepsy occurrence at 90, 135, and 180 days after initiation of ASMs. The findings suggest that the initiation of ASMs was not associated with reduced epilepsy risk in patients with brain abscess. Epilepsy is a common complication of brain abscess. However, the effectiveness of antiseizure medications (ASMs) in preventing epilepsy in brain abscess survivors is unknown. To assess whether the initiation of ASMs is associated with a reduced risk of epilepsy. This retrospective cohort…
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Figure| Components | Target trial | Emulated trial |
|---|---|---|
| Aim | To answer the question of interest: is initiation of ASMs within 45 d of presentation with brain abscess associated with reduced incidence of epilepsy? | Same objective |
| Study design and data source | RCT | Observational equivalent of an RCT |
| Eligibility criteria | Aged ≥18 y at time of brain abscess; no history of epilepsy or seizures; no prior use of levetiracetam, valproate, and phenytoin; hospitalized with brain abscess | Same age; same disease history, excluding diagnoses with |
| Treatment strategies | Two study arms: initiation of ASMs within 45 d of baseline (treatment arm), and no initiation of ASMs (control arm) | Same arms |
| Treatment assignment | Randomization | Self-selection into treatment: initiation of ASMs within 45 d of the index date vs no initiation of ASMs within 45 d of index date |
| Follow-up | 180 d | Same follow-up duration |
| Outcome | Epilepsy | Same outcome, including events occurring only ≥15 d after index date |
| Causal contrast | Risk differences at 90, 135, and 180 d after baseline | Same risk differences |
| Analysis plan | Kaplan-Meier analysis | Clone-censor-weight strategy, in which observations are assumed to follow both treatment strategies until they are observed to deviate from 1 strategy, at which point they are censored. An inverse probability–weighted Kaplan-Meier analysis adjusts for selection into treatment. See statistical analysis plan. |
| Characteristic | Patients, No. (%) | SMD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No initiation of ASMs (n = 478) | Initiation of ASMs (n = 94) | Preweighting | Postweighting | |
| Sex | ||||
| Female | 192 (40.2) | 27 (28.7) | 0.243 | 0.006 |
| Male | 286 (59.8) | 67 (71.3) | 1 [Reference] | 1 [Reference] |
| Age, mean (SD), y | 63.3 (15.5) | 52.8 (18.9) | 0.606 | 0.012 |
| Clinical course | ||||
| Critical illness | 206 (43.1) | 50 (53.2) | 0.203 | <0.001 |
| Sepsis | 154 (32.2) | 21 (22.3) | 0.223 | 0.010 |
| Aspiration of abscess | 170 (35.6) | 54 (57.4) | 0.450 | 0.008 |
| Craniotomy of abscess | 152 (31.8) | 44 (46.8) | 0.311 | 0.019 |
| Early seizure | 47 (9.8) | 18 (19.1) | 0.267 | 0.010 |
| Medical history | ||||
| Neurosurgery | 192 (40.2) | 23 (24.5) | 0.341 | 0.007 |
| Stroke | 141 (29.5) | 18 (19.1) | 0.243 | <0.001 |
| TBI | 34 (7.1) | 7 (7.4) | 0.013 | 0.004 |
| Alcohol misuse | 30 (6.3) | 6 (6.4) | 0.004 | 0.014 |
| Brain cancer | 61 (12.8) | 9 (9.6) | 0.101 | 0.008 |
| CHD | 11 (2.3) | <5 | 0.012 | 0.004 |
| US region | ||||
| Midwest | 124 (25.9) | 31 (33.0) | 0.155 | <0.001 |
| North | 85 (17.8) | 17 (18.1) | 0.008 | 0.007 |
| South | 136 (28.5) | 27 (28.7) | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| West | 133 (27.8) | 19 (20.2) | 0.179 | 0.010 |
| CCI, mean (SD) | 2.8 (3.2) | 1.8 (2.6) | 0.346 | 0.006 |
| Model | Epilepsy occurrence % (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15-180 d | 30-180 d | 90-d Grace period | Negative control | |
|
| ||||
| Treatment arm | 20.7 (15.7 to 25.7) | 8.6 (4.3 to 12.4) | 21.8 (18.1 to 25.4) | 12.1 (7.2 to 17.2) |
| Control arm | 20.8 (16.8 to 24.7) | 10.7 (7.4 to 14.0) | 20.5 (16.5 to 24.3) | 14.6 (11.1 to 18.2) |
| RD | −0.02 (−4.9 to 4.8) | −2.0 (−6.8 to 2.1) | 1.3 (−0.6 to 3.3) | −2.4 (−7.3 to 2.4) |
|
| ||||
| Treatment arm | 25.4 (18.6 to 31.7) | 12.6 (6.6 to 18.1) | 26.3 (20.2 to 31.7) | 14.1 (8.4 to 19.9) |
| Control arm | 23.4 (19.1 to 27.6) | 13.4 (9.8 to 17.0) | 23.3 (19.0 to 27.3) | 16.4 (12.7 to 20.2) |
| RD | 1.9 (−5.0 to 8.5) | −0.7 (−7.3 to 5.2) | 3.0 (−2.6 to 8.1) | −2.2 (−8.1 to 3.4) |
|
| ||||
| Treatment arm | 27.7 (20.0 to 34.7) | 14.9 (7.9 to 21.3) | 28.4 (21.4 to 34.6) | 18.4 (10.2 to 26.8) |
| Control arm | 24.2 (19.8 to 28.5) | 14.1 (10.5 to 17.9) | 24.1 (19.7 to 28.3) | 19.7 (15.7 to 23.7) |
| RD | 3.5 (−4.4 to 10.8) | 0.7 (−6.8 to 7.7) | 4.3 (−2.3 to 10.4) | −1.2 (−9.7 to 7.4) |
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Taxonomy
TopicsBacterial Infections and Vaccines · Epilepsy research and treatment · Infectious Diseases and Tuberculosis
Introduction
Brain abscess consists of an encapsulated area of pus within the brain, often resulting from an infectious agent.^1^ There are approximately 1500 to 2500 brain abscesses diagnosed in the US annually.^1^ Albeit an infrequent occurrence, brain abscess is associated with numerous sequelae.^1,2,3,4^
Epilepsy—the occurrence of repeated unprovoked seizures—is a common complication of brain abscess.^5,6,7,8^ Epilepsy has social, medical, and economic implications, such as experiences of stigma and increased mortality risk.^9^ Taken with its common occurrence in brain abscess survivors, treatments that prevent development of seizures and epilepsy should be identified.^4,5,10,11^ However, literature on the topic is limited.^4^
The European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases released clinical guidelines for the management of brain abscess, including whether antiseizure medications (ASMs) should be initiated to prevent epilepsy.^4^ The guidelines state that ASMs should not be initiated given the scant literature on the topic.^4^ To our knowledge, there are no randomized clinical trials (RCTs) assessing the effectiveness of ASMs in preventing epilepsy in survivors of brain abscess.^4^ Nevertheless, in clinical practice, ASMs may be prescribed preventively.^12^
We used a target trial emulation to assess whether initiation of ASMs is associated with a reduced risk of epilepsy in patients with brain abscess.^13,14^ This framework aligns analysis of observational data with a hypothetical RCT and rigorously accounts for biases that arise in the analysis of observational data.^13,14^ We hypothesized that ASMs are associated with a reduced risk of epilepsy in brain abscess survivors.
Methods
In this retrospective cohort study, we designed an ideal RCT to answer the question of interest: is initiation of ASMs within 45 days of presentation with brain abscess associated with reduced incidence of epilepsy? (Table 1). We then emulated this target trial using US commercial claims data. The Northeastern University Institutional Review Board deemed this study exempt from review because it was not human participant research. We followed the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) reporting guideline.^15^
Population
We used IQVIA PharMetrics Plus for Academics claims data normalized to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership Common Data Model.^16,17^ PharMetrics contains adjudicated commercial insurance claims on 62.7 million patients in the US, including detailed pharmacy, procedures, health care utilization, and medical history. Health care claims between October 1, 2016, and June 30, 2022, were included.
Our population was restricted to patients with a diagnosis of brain abscess identified using International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code G06.0 (eTable 1 in Supplement 1). Given that a brain abscess is a medical emergency, we defined the index event as an abscess associated with an acute care visit type based on Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Place of Service code to exclude cases that represented management of a prior abscess (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). Only patients aged 18 years or older at the time of the abscess with at least 1 year of prior enrollment captured in PharMetrics were included. We excluded patients receiving the study ASMs prior to the index date (eTable 2 in Supplement 1).
Patients with preexisting diagnosis codes of epilepsy or convulsions 30 days or more prior to the index date were also excluded (eTable 1 in Supplement 1). We elected to use a 30-day window, as seizures occurring in close temporality to the brain abscess may be symptomatic of the abscess.^3,5,18^ We did not exclude patients with a prescription claim for non–study ASMs but no epilepsy diagnosis due to frequent off-label use of these drugs.
Date of brain abscess was assigned as the index date. We followed up patients for 180 days after the index date or until loss to follow-up.
Treatment, Outcome, and Independent Variables
We defined 2 treatment strategies: (1) initiation of ASMs within a 45-day grace period after the index date (treatment arm) and (2) no initiation of ASMs (control arm). We a priori selected levetiracetam, valproate, and phenytoin as the study ASMs because these medications are often the first choice in preventing seizures in patients with brain abscess (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). Drug data in the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership database, including brand names and manufacturers, are standardized and identifiable by a single concept identification.^19^ For ASM initiation, we elected to use a longer grace period as limited guidance on this topic may result in heterogeneity in timing of ASM initiation.
Whenever possible, we used previously defined metrics in claims or other clinical datasets, including our outcome definition.^5,7,10,20,21,22,23,24,25,26^ We also followed best-practice guidelines of analysis of claims data, including limiting analysis to broad groups of service codes and limiting covariables to those better captured in claims data.^27^
We defined our study outcome as a diagnosis of epilepsy or seizures occurring at least 15 days after the index date to ensure that early provoked seizures were not classified as epilepsy.^12^ We also considered a 30-day interval as a sensitivity analysis.^5,10^ To determine which variables needed to be adjusted for in our analysis, we created a directed acyclic graph to clarify the causal association of our study question (eFigure 1 in Supplement 1). Confounders biasing the pathway between ASMs and the outcome were included as covariables in the model.
We defined clinical concepts based on ICD-10-CM, RxNorm, and Current Procedural Terminology codes. Each covariable was classified as baseline (non–time varying) or time varying. Baseline variables included medical history of traumatic brain injury, congenital heart condition, neurosurgery, stroke, alcohol misuse, and brain cancer.^2,4,5,10,20^ We included age (years), sex (male and female), US region (North, South, Midwest, and West), Charlson Comorbidity Index (range: 0-24, with the highest index indicating the highest number of comorbidities), sepsis, and critical illness.^22,23,24^ Time-varying confounders included neurosurgical management of abscess (craniotomy and aspiration, defined as 2 separate covariables). We controlled for early seizures, defined as a seizure occurring within 29 days prior to and within 14 days after the index date.^10,12,18^
Statistical Analysis
In a clinical trial, randomization would achieve balance of confounders. In our emulation, we balanced measured confounders by cloning patients into both treatment and control arms to achieve baseline balance and by using inverse probability weights to re-weight the study arms during the 45-day grace period to adjust for artificial censoring due to nonadherence to a given treatment strategy.^14,28^ This approach results in all patients contributing data to both arms if they did not survive without the outcome long enough to begin treatment, thus addressing immortal time bias (for example, a patient who had a seizure on day 31 but started the drug on day 33 would contribute to both study arms).^14,28^ Once the 45-day grace period is over and if patients remain uncensored in their respective study arm, they contribute follow-up to the subsequent outcome model.
We identified when a clone patient’s observed treatment strategy no longer aligned with their assigned treatment arm and censored the observation at that point. This strategy was defined in the control arm as the initiation of an ASM within the 45-day grace period (date of censoring set as the date of ASM initiation) and in the treatment arm as the completion of the 45-day grace period without starting an ASM (date of censoring set at 45 days). We then fit a logistic regression model for the treatment group and a Cox proportional hazards regression model for the control group using censoring as the event to estimate the probability of censoring during the 45-day grace period, separately within the treatment and control arms, and we used these models to generate inverse probability weights. We assessed model weights for extreme weights and compared the weight distribution between each arm to ensure adequate overlap and to evaluate positivity violations. We then applied the weights and estimated standardized mean difference (SMD) between treatment groups for all covariables to assess balance.
We then fit weighted Kaplan-Meier models to obtain probabilities of developing epilepsy at 90 days, 135 days, and 180 days for the treatment and control arms. We subtracted the treatment arm probability from the control arm probability to calculate the marginal risk difference (RD) at 90 days, 135 days, and 180 days. We assessed statistical significance using 95% confidence intervals of the risk differences. To obtain 95% CIs, we performed nonparametric bootstrapping with 1000 replicates.
To assess internal threats to validity, we conducted 3 sensitivity analyses. First, we redefined seizure occurrence as those occurring only 30 days or more after the index date to determine whether potential misclassification of early provoked seizures biased our study findings.^5,10^ For this analysis, early seizures were redefined as those occurring within 29 days prior to 29 days after the index date. Second, we lengthened the grace period to 90 days from 45 days to allow for later initiation of ASMs in the treatment arm. Third, we conducted a negative control study (in which no association between exposure and outcome was expected) using infectious pneumonia occurring 15 days or more after the index date to detect unmeasured confounding. We would expect no differences between groups because ASMs are not associated with infectious pneumonia.
The eMethods and eFigure 2 in Supplement 1 provide a full description of the analytic plan. Data analysis was performed from May to December 2024 using RStudio, version 4.3.1 (R Project for Statistical Computing).
Results
Of the 1623 patients with cerebral abscesses during the study period, 572 were eligible for our analysis. These patients had a mean (SD) age of 61.5 (16.6) years and included 219 females (38.3%) and 353 males (61.7%) (Table 2). Two hundred twenty-four patients (39.2%) had their abscess managed with aspiration, and 196 (34.2%) had their abscess managed with craniotomy. The most common medical history recorded included neurosurgery (215 [37.6%]) and stroke (159 [27.8%]). Most patients were living in the Southern region (163 [28.5%]).
Patients were excluded due to the following reasons (not mutually exclusive): 512 had an index event not associated with an acute care visit, 116 were younger than 18 years, 185 had a past diagnosis of epilepsy, and 172 had prior use of study ASMs. Only 8 patients were excluded due to missing data (missing geography). Because the study period overlapped with the COVID-19 pandemic, we assessed temporal trends in brain abscess, epilepsy, and ASM initiation in our study population. We did not find any notable shifts before or after the pandemic.
In our study population, 129 (22.5%) experienced a seizure 15 to 180 days after the index date. The median (IQR) days to seizure from the index date were 32 (18-54) days. Ninety-four patients (16.4%) initiated ASMs during the 45-day grace period, and 478 (83.6%) did not initiate ASMs. The most common drug prescribed was levetiracetam (n = 89), followed by phenytoin (n = 8) and valproate (n = <5). The median (IQR) daily doses for each drug were 1500 (1000-2000) mg for levetiracetam, 300 (90-500) mg for phenytoin, and 1000 (500-1200) mg for valproate. Of these patients, 7 (7.4%) were prescribed a combination of phenytoin and levetiracetam or a combination of valproate and levetiracetam. No patients were prescribed all 3 medications. The median (IQR) days to initiation of the drug from the index date were 9 (4.0-17.7) days. The majority of patients initiated the ASM within the first 30 days (83 [88.3%]). The median (IQR) duration of the ASM was 29 (14-29) days. Among those who initiated an ASM, 71 (75.5%) were prescribed the drug for 14 days or more.
Prior to weighting, there were notable differences between patients initiating (treatment arm) vs not initiating ASMs (control arm) (Table 2). Those in the treatment group compared with the control group were less often female (27 [28.7%] vs 192 [40.2%]), younger (mean [SD] age, 52.8 [18.9] years vs 63.3 [15.5] years), more often had their abscess neurosurgically managed (aspiration: 54 [57.4%] vs 170 [35.6%]; craniotomy: 44 [46.8%] vs 152 [31.8%]), more often had early seizures (18 [19.1%] vs 47 [9.8%]), and had a lower Charlson Comorbidity Index (1.8 [2.6] vs 2.8 [3.2]). Before weighting, the maximum SMD was 0.606 (age).
The logistic regression for the treatment group indicated no model violations. The Cox proportional hazards regression model for the control group indicated violations of proportional hazards for critical illness, stroke, and craniotomy of the abscess. We thus stratified based on these covariables and also included an interaction term between the critical illness stratum and aspiration of abscess based on Akaike information criterion. Inverse probability weights were similar between the 2 study arms, with good overlap and no extreme weights. After weighting, differences between groups were markedly reduced (Table 2).
The probabilities of epilepsy occurrence 15 days or more after the index date in the treatment and control arms during follow-up were not statistically significantly different (a positive value indicating a higher probability in the treatment arm). Both groups experienced similar probabilities of epilepsy occurrence (RD at 90-day follow-up, –0.02% [95% CI, −4.9% to 4.8%]; RD at 135-day follow-up, 1.9% [95% CI, −5.0% to 8.5%]; RD at 180-day follow-up, 3.5% [95% CI, –4.4% to 10.8%]). Table 3 shows study results and the Figure provides survival curves of the treatment and control arms. Among 32 patients who initiated an ASM, 13 (40.6%) were still filling an ASM prescription when the outcome occurred. These patients had been using the medication for a median (IQR) of 14 (9-19) days when the outcome event occurred.
Survival Curves of Seizures by Treatment and Control Arms With a 45-Day Grace PeriodInverse probability weighted survival curves were derived from the Kaplan-Meier model of cloned patients with brain abscess in the treatment and control arms.
Sensitivity analyses agreed with our primary finding (Table 3). Using a 30-day window to assess potential misclassification of early seizures, we found no differences between study arms (RD at 90-day follow-up, −2.0% [95% CI, −6.8% to 2.1%]; RD at 135-day follow-up, −0.7% [95% CI, –7.3% to 5.2%]; RD at 180-day follow-up, 0.7% [95% CI, −6.8% to 7.7%]). Increasing the grace period to 90 days also agreed with our primary study findings (RD at 90-day follow-up, 1.3% [95% CI, −0.6% to 3.3%]; RD at 135-day follow-up, 3.0% [95% CI, –2.6% to 8.1%]; RD at 180-day follow-up, 4.3% [95% CI, −2.3% to 10.4%]). Finally, there were no differences between groups in the negative control study (RD at 90-day follow-up, −2.4% [95% CI, −7.3% to 2.4%]; RD at 135-day follow-up, −2.2% [95% CI, –8.1% to 3.4%]; RD at 180-day follow-up, −1.2% [95% CI, −9.7% to 7.4%]).
Discussion
We did not find ASMs to be associated with a reduced incidence of epilepsy among brain abscess survivors. Our findings were robust against internal threats to validity, as evidenced through multiple sensitivity analyses corroborating the primary study finding. We believe that our findings have important implications for future research on ASMs.
The 180-day incidence of epilepsy in our study population (22.5%) was similar to a recent study that reported 27.3% of survivors developed epilepsy approximately 9 months after the abscess.^10^ Furthermore, our results agree with findings of similar studies on conditions theorized to cause epilepsy. A meta-analysis of initiation of ASMs as prophylaxis of early seizure in patients with traumatic brain injury, which included 3 RCTs, found only modest evidence of a protective effect against seizures.^29^ Another meta-analysis of 2 RCTs and 4 observational studies of patients with de novo brain tumor after craniotomy did not find benefit of administration of ASMs in preventing epilepsy.^30^ Another review of clinical trials of ASM prophylaxis in brain tumors did not find evidence for or against initiation of ASMs in this population.^31^ A study of initiation of seizure prophylaxis in survivors of acute ischemic stroke did not find a benefit in reducing 30-day mortality.^32^ Finally, a study of initiation of corticosteroids in patients with neurosurgically treated brain abscess did not find a protective effect in late unprovoked seizures.^12^ This same study paradoxically found an increased incidence of late unprovoked seizures in patients who received ASMs, likely due to confounding.^4,12^
Brain abscess is an infrequent occurrence, and leveraging clinical data with large coverage can ensure a large enough sample size for sufficient statistical power and increase generalizability.^33,34^ However, our analysis does not definitively settle the question of the role of ASMs in preventing epilepsy. Due to the scant literature on the topic, we designed the question of interest broadly. Future studies can include per protocol analyses of more specific treatment regimens, such as different drug doses, alternative ASMs, and various combinations of ASMs. Furthermore, numerous studies have assessed whether different types of neurosurgical management, causative microbial agents, or size and location of the abscess affect subsequent development of epilepsy.^10,12,35^ Heterogeneity in the risk of subsequent epilepsy and seizures based on the clinical presentation may have implications for treatment effectiveness.^10,12,35^
In this same vein, the duration of ASM therapy was 3 to 4 weeks in our population. Patients may require a longer regimen prior to discontinuation of the ASM to prevent the development of epilepsy. Although 1 study suggests that most cases of epilepsy develop within the first year after the brain abscess, cases can occur up to 10 years later.^10^ However, in our study, nearly half of the population in the treatment arm who had the outcome had a filled ASM prescription and had been using the drug for 14 days when the outcome occurred. Given this finding, a longer duration of therapy must be weighed against the costs and burden of unnecessary treatment.^4^
Limitations
Claims data are driven by billing practices and may not fully represent the clinical course of the patient. However, using previously defined metrics and analyzing broad categories of service codes in alignment with best practices of claims data analysis strengthen internal validity. Furthermore, we argue that the study outcome (epilepsy) will be well-captured in our study population due to clinical recommendations that brain abscess survivors and their caregivers be educated on symptoms of increased intracranial pressure (including seizures) and the necessity of seeking medical care if such symptoms occur.^1^ PharMetrics contains only commercial claims data, which may represent a healthier and younger subset of brain abscess cases with better health care access. Therefore, our population may have different outcomes than patients with lower income and patients aged 65 years or older. Although the inclusion of covariables in the model was comprehensive and based on a thorough review of the literature, the absence of residual confounding cannot be empirically verified. Finally, given that this work is an observational study, our analysis was limited to current clinical practice. A longer duration of ASM therapy may be necessary to prevent epilepsy occurrence in brain abscess survivors.
Conclusions
In this cohort study of brain abscess survivors, the emulated trial did not find the initiation of ASMs to be associated with a reduction in epilepsy risk. Future RCTs and observational studies should attempt to replicate the study findings and consider alternative treatment regimens, especially those focused on longer durations of ASM therapy.
The reference list from the paper itself. Each links out to its DOI / PubMed record.
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