# The application of random forest-based models in prognostication of gastrointestinal tract malignancies: a systematic review

**Authors:** Zhina Mohamadi, Ahmad Shafizadeh, Yasaman Aliyan, Seyedeh Fatemeh Shayesteh, Parsa Goudarzi, Alireza Khodabandeh, Amirali Vaghari, Helma Ashrafi, Omid Bahrami, Armin ZarinKhat, Yalda Khodabandeh, Kimia Pouyan

PMC · DOI: 10.3389/frai.2025.1517670 · Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence · 2025-07-18

## TL;DR

This paper reviews how random forest models can accurately predict outcomes for gastrointestinal cancers, offering better accuracy than traditional methods.

## Contribution

The study systematically evaluates random forest models' effectiveness in predicting GI tract malignancy prognosis using diverse data types.

## Key findings

- Random forest models showed over 80% accuracy in predicting survival rates for GI cancers.
- RF models outperformed conventional methods in forecasting recurrence, metastasis, and treatment response.
- Combining clinical, genetic, and pathological data improved RF model reliability for prognosis.

## Abstract

Malignancies of the GI tract account for one-third of cancer-related deaths globally and more than 25% of all cancer diagnoses. The rising prevalence of GI tract malignancies and the shortcomings of existing treatment approaches highlight the need for better predictive prediction models. RF’s machine-learning method can predict cancers by using numerous decision trees to locate, classify, and forecast data. This systematic study aims to assess how well RF models predict the prognosis of GI tract malignancies.

Following PRISMA criteria, we performed a systematic search in PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, and Web of Science until May 28, 2024. Studies used RF models to forecast the prognosis of GI tract malignancies, including esophageal, gastric, and colorectal cancers. The QUIPS approach was used to evaluate the quality of the included studies.

Out of 1846 records, 86 studies met inclusion requirements; eight were disqualified. Numerous studies showed that when combining clinical, genetic, and pathological data, RF models were very accurate and dependable in predicting the prognosis of GI tract malignancies, responses, recurrence, survival rates, and metastatic risks, distinguishing between operable and inoperable tumors, and patient outcomes. RF models outperformed conventional prognostic techniques in terms of accuracy; several research studies reported prediction accuracies of over 80% in survival rate estimates.

RF models, in terms of accuracy, performed better than the conventional approaches and provided better capabilities for clinical decision-making. Such models can increase the life quality and survival of patients by personalizing their treatment regimens for cancers of the GI tract. These models can, in a significant manner, raise patients’ survival and quality of life through hastening clinical decision-making and providing personalized treatment options.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** esophageal cancer (MONDO:0007576), gastric cancer (MONDO:0001056), colorectal cancer (MONDO:0005575)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** esophageal, gastric, and colorectal cancers (MESH:D015179), gastrointestinal tract malignancies (MESH:D005770), GI tract malignancies (MESH:D009369)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

77 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12315591/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12315591