# Impact of Vaccination and Public Health Measures on the Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Infections in China: A Systematic Review and Meta-Regression Analysis

## TL;DR

This study examines how vaccination and public health measures in China affected the severity of Omicron infections, finding that vaccines and strict policies reduced severe outcomes.

## Contribution

The study provides novel insights into the effectiveness of inactivated vaccines and public health measures in reducing Omicron severity in a largely infection-naive population.

## Key findings

- Inactivated vaccines strongly protected against severe/critical illness but did not reduce symptom frequency.
- Higher government response and containment measures were linked to lower odds of symptomatic and severe infections.
- Later Omicron subvariants showed higher odds of upper respiratory symptoms compared to BA.1.

## Abstract

Background: Starting in early 2022, SARS-CoV-2 Omicron has driven large outbreaks in China, a predominantly infection-naive population with high inactivated vaccine coverage. This unique context provided a substantially less-confounded opportunity to evaluate how vaccination, public health, and social measures influenced severity. Methods: We systematically reviewed 86 studies (224 severity estimates) published from 2022 to 2024, reporting symptom and clinical severity outcomes (fever, cough, and sore throat; symptomatic, severe/critical, and fatal illness) of Omicron infections in China. Using meta-regression, we evaluated the associations of study setting, age group, vaccination status, predominant subvariants, and Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker (OxCGRT) indices, including the Government Response Index (GRI), Containment and Health Index (CHI), and the Stringency Index (SI), with infection outcomes, adjusting for key confounders. Results: We found the primary or booster series of inactivated vaccines conferred strong protection against severe/critical illness (pooled relative risk (RR) 0.17 [95% CI: 0.09–0.33]) but did not reduce symptom frequency (RR 0.99 [95% CI: 0.95–1.02]). Each 10-unit increase in GRI or CHI was associated with 7% (95% CI: 1–12%) and 6% (95% CI: 1–10%) lower odds of symptomatic infection and 3% (95% CI: 1–4%) lower odds of severe/critical illness. Later subvariants (BA.5, BF.7, and XBB) showed 24–38% higher odds of upper respiratory symptoms versus BA.1. Conclusions: The data collection context significantly impacted severity estimates, with higher estimates from emergency hospitals. Overall, inactivated vaccines provided strong protection against severe/critical outcomes while stringent public health measures were associated with lower severity. Our findings underscore the importance of consistent and standardized protocols to produce reliable estimates of SARS-CoV-2 severity in evolving epidemiological contexts.