# SARS-CoV-2 secondary attack rates and risks for transmission among agricultural workers and their households in Guatemala, 2022-2023

**Authors:** Joseph Daniel Carreon, Molly M. Lamb, Anna N. Chard, Diva M. Calvimontes, Chelsea Iwamoto, Neudy Rojop, Jose Monzon, Ian D. Plumb, Edgar Barrios, Julio del Cid-Villatoro, Kareen Arias, Melissa Gomez, Claudia Maribel Paiz Reyes, Maria Renee Lopez, May Chu, Beatriz Lopez, Bradley S. Barrett, Kejun Guo, Mario Santiago, Guillermo Antonio Bolanos, Emily Zielinski-Gutierrez, Eduardo Azziz-Baumgartner, Eva Leidman, Ashley Fowlkes, Edwin J. Asturias, Celia Cordon-Rosales, Daniel Olson

PMC · DOI: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2025.100676 · IJID Regions · 2025-05-27

## TL;DR

A study in Guatemala found that over half of agricultural workers' households had SARS-CoV-2 infections, with significant secondary transmission, especially when infected individuals shed the virus for longer periods.

## Contribution

This study provides new insights into SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in agricultural worker households, highlighting the role of prolonged viral shedding in increasing secondary infections.

## Key findings

- 58% of households had at least one SARS-CoV-2 infection, with 63% experiencing secondary transmission.
- Secondary transmission risk increased by 112% when index cases were positive for ≥11 days.
- 27% of transmissions occurred from asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic individuals.

## Abstract

•Overall, 58% of households had ≥1 SARS-CoV-2 infection, with 63% experiencing secondary transmission.•Most (71%) index cases were adults, with over half working outside the home.•A total of 27% of transmissions occurred from asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic individuals.•Longer SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding was associated with increased risks of secondary infections.•Agricultural workers should be prioritized for vaccines and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Overall, 58% of households had ≥1 SARS-CoV-2 infection, with 63% experiencing secondary transmission.

Most (71%) index cases were adults, with over half working outside the home.

A total of 27% of transmissions occurred from asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic individuals.

Longer SARS-CoV-2 RNA shedding was associated with increased risks of secondary infections.

Agricultural workers should be prioritized for vaccines and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

It is unclear whether agricultural workers working during epidemics frequently introduce respiratory infections into their homes and trigger secondary transmission. We evaluate secondary attack rates (SAR) and transmission risk in households of agricultural workers in Guatemala during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Households of participants in a workplace surveillance cohort were enrolled from September 2021 to August 2023. All participants reported symptoms twice weekly and provided saliva weekly for SARS-CoV-2 reverse-transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction testing. Upon SARS-CoV-2 detection, participants submitted saliva three times per week for 4 weeks. We calculated SARs, and we estimated the risk of transmission to household contacts adjusting for demographic factors, COVID-19 vaccination status, seropositivity, and significant covariates (p ≤ 0.05) in univariable analyses.

Among 83 households with 376 individuals, 48 (58%) had at least one SARS-CoV-2 infection (120 SARS-CoV-2 infections, 0.6 per 100 person-weeks), resulting in 64 secondary (SAR = 0.35, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.28-0.43) and eight tertiary infections (tertiary attack rate = 0.07, 95% CI 0.03-0.13). The risk of secondary transmission increased by 112% among household contacts whose index cases were positive for ≥11 days (risk ratio: 2.12, 95% CI 1.29-3.49) but did not increase for those whose index case was positive for 6-10 days (risk ratio: 1.40, 95% CI 0.77-2.57) compared to those with index cases positive for ≤5 days.

More than half of agricultural households became infected with SARS-CoV-2 and approximately two-thirds of these had secondary chains of transmission, especially when index cases shed SARS-CoV-2 longer.

## Linked entities

- **Diseases:** SARS-CoV-2 (MONDO:0100096), COVID-19 (MONDO:0100096)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (taxon 9606)

## Full-text entities

- **Diseases:** COVID-19 (MESH:D000086382), infected (MESH:D007239), respiratory infections (MESH:D012141)
- **Species:** Homo sapiens (human, species) [taxon 9606], Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (no rank) [taxon 2697049]

## Full text

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## Figures

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## References

41 references — full list in the complete paper: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12210297/full.md

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Source: https://tomesphere.com/paper/PMC12210297