# The Potential Distribution of Termitomyces spp. in China Based on MaxEnt Model Analysis

## TL;DR

This study uses climate models to predict where Termitomyces mushrooms can grow in China now and in the future, showing they may spread to new areas as the climate changes.

## Contribution

The study introduces a MaxEnt and ArcGIS-based approach to predict Termitomyces spp. distribution under climate change in China.

## Key findings

- Temperature and precipitation are key factors influencing Termitomyces spp. distribution.
- Current suitable habitats cover 152.95 × 10⁴ km², mainly in southern and central China.
- Future climate scenarios show expansion of suitable habitats, including into northwestern regions.

## Abstract

Termitomyces spp., as a precious edible and medicinal fungus, has long been a focal point of attention due to its unique distribution characteristics and cultivation potential, which have sparked extensive research and discussion. To effectively predict the suitable growth areas and cultivation environments for Termitomyces spp., this study combines the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software to systematically predict its potential distribution patterns under climate change. By analyzing the relationship between the geographic distribution of Termitomyces spp. and bioclimatic factors, the study reveals that temperature and precipitation are key climate factors influencing its distribution, with warm and humid climate conditions promoting its growth and reproduction. The model results show that under current climate conditions, the total suitable habitat area for Termitomyces spp. reaches 152.95 × 104 km2, primarily distributed in southwestern, southern, central, and eastern China. With future climate scenarios, the potential suitable habitats for Termitomyces spp. show a trend of gradual expansion, even covering the northwestern regions. The overall suitable habitat area significantly increases, with only a slight decrease in the area of moderately and low‐suitability zones. Additionally, the study also finds that the centroid of the suitable habitats tends to migrate in the northwest direction. In conclusion, the findings of this study not only provide scientific evidence for exploring the impact of climate change on the distribution of Termitomyces spp., but also offer important data support for optimizing its cultivation techniques, promoting ecological conservation efforts, and formulating regional economic development strategies.

This study combines the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software to systematically predict its potential distribution patterns under climate change. By analyzing the relationship between the geographic distribution of Termitomyces spp. and bioclimatic factors, the study reveals that temperature and precipitation are key climate factors influencing its distribution, with warm and humid climate conditions promoting its growth and reproduction.