Fluconazole Dosing for the Prevention of Candida spp. Infections in Hemato-Oncologic Pediatric Patients: Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling and Probability of Target Attainment Simulations
Arkadiusz Adamiszak, Katarzyna Derwich, Alicja Bartkowska-Śniatkowska, Krzysztof Pietrzkiewicz, Izabela Niewiadomska-Wojnałowicz, Andrzej Czyrski, William J. Jusko, Agnieszka Bienert

TL;DR
This study uses pharmacokinetic modeling to show that higher fluconazole doses are needed in pediatric hemato-oncology patients to prevent Candida infections.
Contribution
The study introduces a population pharmacokinetic model and simulations to evaluate fluconazole dosing in pediatric hemato-oncology patients.
Findings
A one-compartment model best described fluconazole concentration-time data in pediatric patients.
Standard fluconazole doses below 6 mg/kg failed to meet the PK/PD target for Candida spp. prophylaxis.
Higher fluconazole doses are recommended for hemato-oncologic pediatric patients to achieve therapeutic efficacy.
Abstract
Objectives: A population pharmacokinetic (popPK) model was used to evaluate fluconazole dosing regimens for Candida spp. prophylaxis in hemato-oncologic pediatric patients. Methods: Data were collected from patients receiving 3–12 mg/kg of fluconazole once daily as a 0.5 or 1 h infusion. Fluconazole concentrations were determined using a validated HPLC-UV method. The popPK model employed non-linear mixed effects modeling using the FOCEI algorithm implemented in nlmixr2. Monte Carlo simulations and probability of target attainment (PTA) analysis were performed in the rxode2 package to investigate dosing recommendations. Results: Concentration time data from nine patients, aged 7 months to 18 years, with 35 samples, were described by a one-compartment model with first-order elimination and allometric scaling of body weight. Assuming a Candida spp. MIC = 2 mg/L and the ratio of the area…
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Figure 4- —Doctoral School of Poznan University of Medical Sciences in Poznan, Poland
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Taxonomy
TopicsAntifungal resistance and susceptibility · Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia detection and treatment · Antibiotics Pharmacokinetics and Efficacy
1. Introduction
Fluconazole (FLU) is a triazole group antifungal drug widely used in clinical conditions and outpatient treatment [1,2,3]. In the pediatric population, FLU is indicated to treat invasive and mucosal candidiasis, cryptococcal meningitis, and prophylaxis of Candida spp. infections in immunocompromised and other high-risk patients [2,4,5].
An oral dose of FLU has ~90% bioavailability and a comparable plasma concentration as intravenous (IV) administration [4,6,7,8,9]. The volume of distribution (V) of FLU is similar to the total body water of adult patients (0.7 L/kg) [4,6,10,11]. In turn, in children aged 0.25–12 years, the V is 33% higher (0.95 L/kg) [10,11]. The plasma protein binding is relatively low and reported as 11–12% [4,6,8,10]. Approximately 80% of the administered FLU dose is eliminated unchanged in urine [4,8,10,12,13]. The half-life in adults is about 30 h and in children is about 22 h, perhaps necessitating higher doses in children [10,11].
The activity and efficacy of FLU are related to the ratio of the area under the free drug concentration–time curve (fAUC) over 24 h at a steady state to the pathogen’s minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) [14,15,16]. The higher pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) target was established as an fAUC/MIC ≥ 100 [2,13,16,17]. For Candida spp. considered susceptible to FLU treatment (MIC ≤ 2 mg/L) [18], the fAUC must reach at least 200 mg × h/L [2,15]. The less rigorous PK/PD target is fAUC/MIC ≥ 50; when assuming MIC ≤ 2 mg/L, the fAUC is thus at least 100 mg × h/L [17,19]. Although attaining the PK/PD targets improves treatment outcomes, therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) is not a clinical routine mainly because of the broad FLU therapeutic index, favorable safety profile, and linear dose–concentration correlation [14,17,20,21,22]. Lack of routine TDM combined with limited knowledge of the PK of azoles in the pediatric population results in subtherapeutic FLU dosages in almost 40% of patients [3,14,15,17,22].
Since underexposure to FLU during treatment of the pediatric population has been suggested in the literature, our study aimed to investigate the efficacy of registered FLU doses used as a prophylaxis of Candida spp. infections.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Population and Data Collection
This study was performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki, approved by the local ethics committee (the Poznan University of Medical Sciences Bioethics Committee, decision number: KB-820/21, 3 November 2021), and registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05426499). Written informed consent was obtained from patients and their legal representatives before inclusion. This study was conducted at the Poznan University of Medical Sciences (PUMS) Karol Jonscher Teaching Hospital: Department of Pediatric Oncology, Hematology and Transplantology, and Department of Paediatric Anaesthesiology and Intensive Therapy. Patients were recruited between December 2022 and October 2024.
Inclusion criteria for the study were age <18 years and treatment or prophylaxis with IV FLU administered according to the Summary of Product Characteristics (SmPC). The sampling procedure involved minimizing patient risk by collecting most of the blood samples at the time of scheduled biochemical assays (like complete blood count or CRP), routinely performed during hospitalization. Consequently, sampling times varied for all patients. Baseline demographic, biological, and clinical data were collected from medical patient records and included sex, age, body weight, height, body surface area (DuBois Method), the serum creatinine estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) calculated using the Bedside Schwartz equation [23], eGFR calculated using the Schartz 2012 equation [24], bilirubin, total proteins, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin (PCT).
2.2. Bioanalytical Methods
Blood samples (0.5 mL) were collected into lithium heparin tubes (BD Vacutainer^®^, Becton, Dickinson and Company, Franklin Lakes, NJ, USA) and then immediately centrifuged at 3000× g for 15 min to harvest plasma. Collected plasma samples were stored at −25 °C pending analysis. Fluconazole plasma concentrations were determined using our previously developed and validated method involving high-performance liquid chromatography with ultraviolet detection (HPLC-UV) [25]. The determination range was 0.5–100.0 mg/L.
2.3. Population Pharmacokinetic Analysis
Fluconazole concentration–time data were analyzed using PopPK modeling using the first-order conditional estimation with interaction (FOCEI) algorithm for non-linear mixed effects models implemented in the nlmixr2 R package [26]. One- and two-compartment structural compartment models with linear clearance (Cl) from the central compartment were tested. The interindividual variability (IIV) of PK parameters was assumed to follow a log-normal distribution. Proportional and combined error models were tested to describe the residual unexplained variability. Allometric scaling of the parameters was implemented according to the following:
and
where CL and V are the clearance and volume of distribution, CL_T_ and V_T_ are typical values for a 70 kg adult, and WT is body weight expressed in kilograms.
The covariate model was investigated according to the classic stepwise covariate modeling method [27]. Pearson’s correlation test was performed to check for any relationships between random effects and covariates and whether they should be added to the model. Additionally, the mlcov R package was used to investigate possible covariates that should be considered during model development [28]. The effect of covariates was evaluated using the following equations.
For continuous covariates
For categorical covariates
where θ_i_ represents the individual parameter estimate, θ_pop_ is the population estimated value for this parameter, COV_i_ corresponds to the individual value of a covariate, θ_cov_ is the estimated effect of that covariate on the parameter, and η_i_ is equal to the individual value of the random effect associated with the parameter describing the difference between the population value of the parameter and the individual value of that parameter for the ith subject.
Model selection was based on a decrease of at least 3.84 points (p < 0.05) for 1 degree of freedom in the Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), objective function value (OFV), the stability of the model, the precision of the parameter estimates, and the goodness-of-fit (GOF) diagnostic plots evaluated at each step of the building process. The final model was assessed using Visual Predictive Checks (VPCs).
2.4. Simulations
Simulations of fAUC after the 6th dose (between 144 and 168 h) and dosing regimens based on the final model were performed in the rxode2 R package [29]. We tested 3–12 mg/kg in a 30 min infusion daily according to the dosages proposed in SmPC for prophylaxis of Candida spp. infections. Additionally, we tested alternatively higher 15 and 18 mg/kg doses. For each combination, 2500 virtual patients were simulated as 50 patients per group replicated 50 times, accounting for the same individuals among the simulated groups. An fAUC/MIC ≥ 100 was the PK/PD target, according to the European Committee on Antimicrobial Susceptibility Testing (EUCAST) [12,16]. Alternatively, a less rigorous PK/PD target (fAUC/MIC ≥ 50) was also investigated [17,19]. According to the EUCAST breakpoints for antifungals, we assumed an MIC = 2 mg/L for FLU as the highest MIC value of susceptible Candida spp. strains. [18]. The probability of target attainment (PTA) > 90% was considered an acceptable probability of success [30]. Assuming an FLU half-life of about 30 h and at least 5 half-lives to reach a steady state, for the PTA analysis we simulated the fAUC after the 6th dose (between 144 and 168 h) [4,18]. The free fraction of FLU was calculated based on the ~11% protein binding in the SmPC [4]. In addition, simulations for standard SmPC doses and the fAUC/MIC ≥ 100 PK/PD target with MIC values from 0.125 to 2 mg/L were performed.
3. Results
3.1. Study Population
A total of 35 plasma concentrations from nine patients were used. The average number of samples per patient was four, with a range of two and five. All concentrations were above the lower limit of quantification (0.5 mg/L) [25]. Patients received FLU in doses of 3–11 mg per kg of body weight as 0.5–1 h infusions once daily. The baseline characteristics of the studied population are presented in Table 1.
3.2. Population Pharmacokinetic Model
Plasma FLU concentrations are described by the one-compartment model with clearance from plasma. The allometric scaling, according to Equations (1) and (2), enabled the model to fit well. The proportional error model resulted in the best data fit. The final model estimates are presented in Table 2. The range of estimated CL values normalized for body weight is 0.31 mL/min/kg for a 58.5 kg patient to 0.55 mL/min/kg for a 6 kg patient. The estimated V value normalized for body weight is 1.49 L/kg.
The individual PK profiles of dose-normalized concentrations in time are presented in Figure 1. Similar regular and log-scaled graphs clustered according to dose group are presented in Figures S1 and S2. The VPC and GOF plots for the final model indicated a good description of the data and no major model misspecification. The points in the observed vs. predicted plots are symmetrically clustered around the line, indicating no evident trends. The residuals are distributed around zero, and most points are within the range of −2 and 2 (Figure S3). The VPC showed that most observed concentrations were within the predicted intervals (Figure S4). The nlmixr2 code of the final model along with graphs of the distribution of the residuals (Figure S5), the distribution of the individual parameters (Figure S6), the distribution of the standardized random effects (Figure S7), and the correlation between random effects (Figures S8 and S9) are presented in the Supplementary Materials.
In accordance with the assumptions of allometric scaling, the values of clearance normalized by body weight significantly decrease with increasing body weight, which best explains the course of the log-log regression curve. In contrast, the lack of significant correlation when CL is normalized based on body weight to the power of 0.75 indicates the validity of using allometric scaling of CL according to Equation (1) and compensating for the effect of body weight on CL (Figure 2).
A post hoc analysis of the effect of age on the CL of fluconazole showed a statistically significant decrease in CL with increasing age. The median CL for patients aged below the median age is 0.68 mL/min/kg, while for older patients it is 0.32 mL/min/kg. The effect of eGFR on fluconazole CL was not significant; however, differences in CL were observed according to an eGFR above or below the median. Patients with an eGFR below 117.9 mL/min/1.73 m^2^ showed a median CL of 0.32 mL/min/kg, while patients with a higher eGFR had a CL of 0.56 mL/min/kg (Figure 3).
3.3. Simulations and Probability of Target Attainment Analysis
The evaluation of the fAUC at a steady state indicates that children treated with low doses of FLU (3–5 mg/kg) were not able to achieve the intended therapeutic target (fAUC/MIC > 100, assuming Canida spp. MIC = 2 mg/L). Patients treated with intermediate (6–8 mg/kg) and high (9–11 mg/kg) FLU doses achieved an average of 256 and 328 mg × h × L^−1^ (Figure 4).
According to the dosing simulations, for the fAUC/MIC ≥ 100 target, already registered FLU dosages exceed the assumed 90% of PTA in the case of 48–60 kg patients treated with 12 mg/kg FLU dose. For the fAUC/MIC ≥ 50 target, the higher SmPC doses (9–12 mg/kg) enable the target PTA to be achieved. The simulation results for both PK/PD targets and MIC = 2 mg/L are presented in Figure S10. The PTA analysis of different MIC values of susceptible Candida spp. (0.125–2 mg/L) showed that at MIC values ≤ 1 mg/L, the FLU doses indicated in the SmPC are sufficient to achieve the target fAUC/MIC ≥ 100 (Figure S11).
4. Discussion
This may be one of the first FLU popPK models devoted to Candida spp. prophylaxis in hemato-oncologic pediatric patients. In addition to providing PK assessment, the PK model served as a tool to evaluate the effectiveness of FLU doses registered for the prophylaxis of Candida spp. infections. We found that the registered FLU doses < 6 mg/kg appear to be of limited value owing to resultant subtherapeutic concentrations. Consequently, higher doses (6–12 mg/kg) appear necessary in children.
The one-compartment model appeared adequate for our limited data. Adding a second compartment did not show a statistically significant improvement and even decreased the stability of the estimated parameters. The relatively small number of samples per patient and the unsystematized sample collection timing explained this. The opportunistic approach to sample collection limited sampling, and so increasing the number of recruited patients was not feasible in our study [31,32]. Nonetheless, given its implementation in most published FLU popPK models in different populations, the one-compartment model was sufficient to analyze FLU PK [2,7,15,30,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40]. The estimated CL calculated per kg of body weight (0.018 L/h/kg for 70 kg adult) is consistent with previously published FLU pop models [30,34]. In turn, the estimated V per kg (1.49 L/kg) is higher (~50%) than published values for children or adults [3,30,34]. This may be a result of the underlying illness, administered chemotherapy, and/or hyper-hydration [14,41]. The increased V in pediatric oncology patients could explain the reduced FLU exposure observed in the Van Der Elst et al. study compared to other pediatric populations [14]. Nonetheless, the observed V needs to be confirmed in future FLU PK studies in similar patients.
The slope coefficient of log-log regression for the body-weight-normalized CL versus body weight equal to −0.754 is consistent with the assumptions of allometric scaling and the use of CL per kg scaling to the power of 0.75. Additional confirmation of the discussed assumption is the lack of a significant relationship between CL/BW^0.75^ and body weight (Figure 2). This is in line with existing knowledge of allometric CL scaling in the pediatric population [42,43].
In general, according to the SmPC and FLU Product Label, children have a higher FLU CL than adults [4,44]. This is consistent with our results, where patients, especially those younger than the median age, showed a CL equal to 0.65 mL/min/kg. In the case of pediatric patients older than the mentioned median (9.8 years), the CL was lower (0.32 mL/min/kg) and closer to the CL for adults (0.23 mL/min/kg) reported in the Product Label [44]. Some trends were observed in the relationship between the body-weight-normalized CL and eGFR (Figure 3). In general, patients with an eGFR lower than 117.9 mL/min/1.73 m^2^ (population median calculated using Schwartz et al. equation [24]) showed a lower CL/BW (0.32 mL/min/kg) than patients with a higher eGFR (0.56 mL/min/kg). The effect of the eGFR on CL is primarily due to the significant elimination of FLU via the renal route [4,44]. Indirect confirmation of our observation is also provided by previous PK FLU studies indicating serum creatinine as a covariate of CL [30,37,39,45].
The results of the fAUC simulations showed that low doses of FLU (3–5 mg/kg) are insufficient to achieve the intended PK/PD target and thus show unsatisfactory efficacy in the prophylaxis of Candida spp. infections. The PTA analysis results indicated the limited utility of the doses in the SmPC when it is necessary to achieve fAUC/MIC ≥ 100, assuming a Candida spp. MIC = 2 mg/L. In the case of a lesser PK/PD target (fAUC/MIC ≥ 50), the doses between 6 and 12 mg/kg were sufficient to achieve a PTA ≥ 90%. The need for higher dosages in the pediatric cancer patient population is consistent with the observations of Van Der Elst et al., resulting in recommendations for usage of 12 mg/kg doses in their hospital [14]. According to the PTA analysis, the MIC values > 2 mg/L make it impossible to achieve the PK/PD target (fAUC/MIC ≥ 100) with the FLU doses included in the SmPC. This observation is consistent with the data for Candida spp. susceptibility to FLU treatment presented in the latest “Breakpoint tables for interpretation of MICs for antifungal agents” established by the EUCAST [16,18].
The individual PK of patient ID: 9 stands out (Figure 1). The explanation most notably for the low CL (0.006 L/h/kg) was the patient’s young age of 6 months. This is supported by the Fluconazole Product Label and pharmacokinetic studies conducted in infants [3,30,44,46]. The median CL reported by Watt et al. for non-ECMO patients aged 31 days to 2 years was 0.017 L/h/kg with a range of 0.008 to 0.029 L/h/kg. Thus, patient ID: 9 was excluded from the fitting analysis and is presented in the graphs as a red dot (Figure 2 and Figure 3).
Our main limitation is the small number of patients and plasma samples per patient. This is due to difficulties in recruiting pediatric patients, which resulted in high refusal rates. A less critical limitation is the inability to determine the free fraction of FLU. However, binding to proteins at ~11% would have a minor impact on the PK of FLU. Given the above, we recommend caution in the clinical implementation of our study results. The raw data listed in the Supplementary Materials may help expand the knowledge of PK FLU in the search for optimal FLU therapy in the pediatric population.
5. Conclusions
Body weight implemented as allometric scaling influences the elimination of FLU, leading to the need for tailoring dosages to achieve the assumed PK/PD target for Candida spp. infection prophylaxis. As a rule, decreased weight (correlated with younger age) requires increased FLU doses per kg of body weight. Although the eGFR was not included as one of the covariates in the popPK model, indirect analysis confirmed its effect on fluconazole’s CL as observed in studies to date. In general, doses < 6 mg/kg pose a risk of subtherapeutic concentrations and, as a consequence, higher (6–12 mg/kg) doses are recommended for hemato-oncologic pediatric patients. In turn, even higher than registered FLU dosages might be required to reach an fAUC/MIC ≥ 100; however, its safety has not yet been studied. The described approach does not apply to Candida glabrata, for which the MIC determining susceptible strains is < 0.001 mg/L [18].
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